Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars Game 4 Prediction, NHL Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated May 08, 2022

After recording just three total goals through the first three games of this series, can the Calgary Flames' struggling offence finally come alive in Game 4 against the Dallas Stars?

Calgary
50-21-9-2
AT
May 09, 2022, 9:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Dallas
46-30-4-2
Puckline -1.5 +157
Moneyline -177
Over / Under o +5.5

76%

Betting Action

24%

Puckline +1.5 -188
Moneyline +147
Over / Under u +5.5

76%

Betting Action

24%

It’s advantage Dallas Stars headed into Game 4 against the Calgary Flames on Monday night, with Dallas up 2-1 in the first round playoff series. The Stars made a late surge to even get into the postseason, and now a win in Game 4 would see them put the Pacific Division-winning Flames on the ropes.

Saturday’s 4-2 Stars win was the first game this series where more than two goals were scored. It was a huge night for veteran Joe Pavelski who scored the game-tying and game-winning goals.

Puck drop at American Airlines Center for Game 4 goes at 9:30 p.m. EDT. Calgary is a -160 favourite to win the game. The over-under is set at 5.5 on the NHL odds.

Flames vs. Stars NHL Playoffs Betting Odds

With six total goals in Game 3, the over hit for the first time this series. The over is 4-2 in the last six Calgary–Dallas contests played in Texas. Calgary’s also now scored two or fewer goals in their last five outings dating back to the regular season.

Head-to-head, the Stars have kept up their success over Calgary. Dallas is 6-3 in their last nine meetings with Calgary. The Flames have averaged under 2.5 goals per outing in that stretch. Calgary has three goals through as many games this series, which speaks volumes to Dallas’ defence.

Calgary Flames

The Flames generated a series-best 41 shots Saturday night but for the most part got turned away by a hot goalie. Trevor Lewis buried his first of the postseason in the first period. Elias Lindholm’s second of the playoffs gave Calgary their only lead and final goal in Game 3. The Flames went 0 for 4 on the man advantage in Game 3 and are now 1 for 12 in the series. During the regular season, Calgary had a top-10 power-play that clicked at nearly 23 per cent.

Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 31 shots faced in Game 3 and now has a .942 save percentage in the series despite a 1-2 record. He’ll get the start in Game 4.

Dallas Stars

Pavelski’s 63rd and 64th career playoff goals earned Dallas the Game 3 victory. The veteran winger has 16 goals in 30 playoff games for the Stars. In Game 4 of the Flames–Stars series in 2020, Pavelski recorded a hat-trick — one of his two three-point games that series.

The other main takeaway from Game 3 was Jake Oettinger’s 39-save performance. Oettinger has appeared in five Stanley Cup Playoffs games, getting the start in three, and has a career .971 save percentage in those five games. Oettinger’s now allowed three goals on 96 shots faced this series — the stage isn’t too bright for the 23-year-old.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Flames vs. Stars?

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