Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game 3 Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 19, 2022

Can the Colorado Avalanche put the defending Stanley Cup champions on the ropes and take a 3-0 series lead when the Stanley Cup Final shifts to Tampa Bay for Game 3 on Monday?

Colorado
56-19-5-2
AT
June 20, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay
51-23-3-5
Puckline +1.5 -259
Moneyline -101
Over / Under o +6

55%

Betting Action

45%

Puckline -1.5 +215
Moneyline -120
Over / Under u +6

55%

Betting Action

45%

It was pure domination from the Colorado Avalanche in Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Final on Saturday night.  They crushed the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-0 and now hold a 2-0 series lead against the defending back-to-back Stanley Cup champions.  The teams will head to Tampa Bay for Game 3 on Monday as the Bolts look to avoid falling into a crushing 0-3 series hole.

This game opened as a pick’em on the NHL odds, with a total of 6.0.

Avalanche vs. Lightning NHL Playoffs Betting Odds

Colorado has now won all four games, regular season and playoffs combined, against the Lightning this year.  The total has gone Over in three of four contests, including the first two games of this playoff series.

The Avalanche are playing at another level in these playoffs.  Their win streak is up to seven games overall, they’ve won their last five games on the road and they have just two losses in 16 playoff games.  It’s no surprise that this high scoring team has hit the Over in seven of their last 10 games.  Colorado enters Game 3 as a -667 favourite to win the series.

The Bolts will be happy to return home to Amalie Arena, where they’ve won seven of eight games in this playoff run.  They clearly favour low scoring games as they total has gone Under in 10 of their last 13 contests.  That could be a big reason why they’re struggling against Colorado as six of the last seven games between these teams have hit the Over.  Tampa currently sits as a +406 series underdog.

Oddsmakers have faith in the Lightning pulling out a win in Tampa Bay as the favoured exact series result sees the Avalanche winning in five games at +200.  The oddsmakers don’t have faith in the Bolts rolling off four straight wins, however, as the biggest long shot is Tampa winning in six games at +1240.

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado’s depth scoring was on full display again in Game 2, with Valeri Nichushkin scoring twice and Josh Manson and Darren Helm each scoring once.  Andre Burakovsky also scored once, while Cale Makar added two goals in the third period.  Mikko Rantanen had three assists.  One of the most impressive aspects of the win is the fact star forward Nathan MacKinnon only contributed one assist in the seven-goal outburst.  MacKinnon did, however, generate plenty of offensive opportunities.  The Avs overwhelmed Tampa Bay in almost every aspect of the game, outshooting the defending champs 30-16.  Darcy Kuemper‘s light workload led to his second career playoff shutout.

Continued depth contributions will be essential for the Avalanche.  They are already without second-line centre Nazem Kadri (day-to-day, thumb) and top-four defenceman Samuel Girard (out for season, chest).  Andrew Cogliano returned to the lineup with two assists in Game 3 after undergoing surgery on his right hand following the Western Conference Final, but Burakovsky left in the second period with an undisclosed injury.  Burakovsky is listed as questionable for Game 3, but likely won’t play.  Kadri is also listed as questionable, but looks close to a return.  It’s still unlikely Kadri will be ready by Monday.

Tampa Bay Lightning

For the second game in a row and just the second time in 100 career playoff games, Andrei Vasilevskiy was torched for three goals in the first period on Saturday.  He eventually gave up a playoff career-high seven goals in the game.  The 23-save performance was the worst career playoff outing for Vasilevskiy, who has played every single playoff game during Tampa’s three straight trips to the Stanley Cup Final.  It’s hard to blame the loss on Vasilevskiy, however.  The Bolts trailed 15-1 in shot attempts less than 10 minutes into the first period.  They never managed more than seven shots on net in any of the three periods.  Corey Perry and Victor Hedman led the team with three shots each.

The Lightning also lost the first two games against New York in the Eastern Conference Final, but it’s worth noting that no team in NHL history has ever come back from an 0-2 series deficit in two consecutive rounds.  The seven goals allowed in Game 2 was the most goals Tampa Bay has give up in a playoff game since a series clinching loss in 2019, when they were infamously swept in the first round of the playoffs after winning the Presidents Trophy during the regular season.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Avalanche vs. Lightning?

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