Colorado Avalanche vs. Vegas Golden Knights Game 4 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 05, 2021

In front of the NHL's first full-capacity crowd this season, the Golden Knights picked up a much-needed win in Vegas on Friday.

Colorado
39-13-3-1
AT
June 06, 2021, 8:30 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
Vegas
40-14-0-2
Puckline +1.5 -279
Moneyline -112
Over / Under o +5.5

65%

Betting Action

35%

Puckline -1.5 +230
Moneyline -108
Over / Under u +5.5

65%

Betting Action

35%

Two late third period goals less than a minute apart was the difference on Friday, as the Vegas Golden Knights picked up their first win of the series.  Vegas downed the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in Game 3 and they now trail the Avs 2-1 in this second-round series.

Sunday’s Game 4 from Vegas is essentially a pick’em on the NHL odds.  The Golden Knights are slim -117 favourites to win, with a total of 5.5.

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Stanley Cup Odds

After a lopsided Game 1 win in Colorado’s favour, Vegas has put up back-to-back strong performances and they were finally rewarded in Game 3.  The betting action still favours the Avalanche, as 64 per cent of Sports Interaction bettors are siding with the road team.  Bettors are nearly split down the middle on the Over/Under.  The Over hit in the Game 1 blowout, while the last two games went Under the total.

Colorado’s Game 3 loss broke an 11-game overall winning streak and a five-game road winning streak.  While the Avs have hit the Over in six of their last nine games overall, the total has actually gone Under in four of their last five games in Vegas.  The Avalanche are still favoured to win the series at -395.  They’re also the Stanley Cup favourites at +135.

It’s not a surprise that home ice helped Vegas get back into this series, as they’ve won 10 of their last 13 games at T-Mobile Arena.  When you’re looking at the Over/Under, keep in mind the total has gone Under in eight of the last 11 games between these teams.  The Golden Knights are now +273 dogs to win the series and +900 to win the Stanley Cup.

Colorado Avalanche

It wasn’t just Colorado’s winning streak that ended on Friday.  Brandon Saad‘s five-game goal scoring streak was also snapped, while goaltender Philipp Grubauer‘s personal 10-game playoff winning streak also ended.  A few streaks did survive, however, as Mikko Rantanen extended his point streak to seven games (4G, 7A) and Cale Makar extended his point streak to four games (1G, 6A).  Rantanen and Carl Soderberg had the Avalanche goals in Game 3, while Grubauer made 40 saves.

The alarming thing for Colorado right now is the trend of the last two games.  The Avs have been badly outplayed over the last two games, getting outshot by 17 in Game 2 and by 23 in Game 3.  Grubauer has continued to stop pucks and give the team a chance, but the top players have disappeared over the last two games.  Colorado is struggling at five-on-five, as the top line of Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog and Rantanen have failed to score an even-strength point in two straight games.

The Avs are hoping they might get a boost to the lineup soon.  Nazem Kadri has already served five games of an eight-game suspension, but he could possibly return to the lineup even sooner.  Kadri’s original appeal of his suspension was denied by commissioner Gary Bettman, but he had a final appeal on Friday morning with a neutral arbitrator.  There’s no timeline on a decision.

Vegas Golden Knights

It was almost as close to a must-win game as possible for Vegas on Friday.  Instead of going into an 0-3 hole, they cut Colorado’s series lead to 2-1 and they’ll have a chance to tie it up at home on Sunday.  The Golden Knights got the game-tying goal in Game 3 from Jonathan Marchessault late in the third period, while Max Pacioretty scored the winner 45 seconds later.    William Karlsson had the opening goal.  Marc-Andre Fleury made 18 saves in the win and has now playoff games against 18 different NHL franchises, the second-most in NHL history behind Patrick Roy (20).

Despite being down in the series, Vegas has put themselves in a good position.  Game 3 was not nearly as close as it looked on the scoreboard.  The Golden Knights outshot Colorado 43-20, including 14-3 in the first period alone and 19-8 in the final frame.

The Golden Knights will get a big piece of their lineup back for Game 4, as Ryan Reaves has served the second game of his two-game suspension for roughing and unsportsmanlike conduct against Avalanche defenceman Ryan Graves.  With the physicality in this series bumping up each game, Reaves is a huge addition.  Both teams had 50 hits each in Game 3.

NHL Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Avalanche vs. Golden Knights?

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