Colorado Avalanche vs. Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 10, 2021

Reilly Smith's hat trick was the difference-maker for the Golden Knights against St. Louis on Saturday. With a chance to clinch the West Division on Monday, Vegas will need a little more of that magic from Smith, against the team chasing them in the standings, the Colorado Avalanche.

Colorado
39-13-3-1
AT
May 10, 2021, 10:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
Vegas
40-14-0-2
Puckline +1.5 -301
Moneyline -131
Over / Under o +6

35%

Betting Action

65%

Puckline -1.5 +252
Moneyline +109
Over / Under u +6

35%

Betting Action

65%

The two best teams in the West Division are facing off for the eighth and final time in the regular season as the Colorado Avalanche are in Las Vegas to face the Golden Knights on Monday night.  Vegas has a 4-3 edge in wins, but this has been a close season series and could very well be a second round matchup in the playoffs.

The line opened as a straight pick’em on the NHL odds with a total of 5.5.

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Betting Analysis

It’s worth noting the total has gone Under in the first six games between these teams this season, while the Over hit the last time around, a 5-2 Vegas win on April 28.  The Golden Knights have outscored the Avalanche a combined 17-15 and shutout Colorado twice.

The Avalanche have looked good recently, winning five of their last six games.  They’re 21-32 against the spread this year, but they’ve only covered in two of their last 10 games.  The total has gone Under in four of Colorado’s last six games.

Vegas has the best record in the NHL for a reason.  They’re 21-4-2 at home this season and they have won seven straight games at T-Mobile Arena.  The Golden Knights are 25-29 ATS, but they’ve failed to cover in six of their last 10 games.  The total has gone Under in four of their last six games.

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado clinched a playoff spot a while ago, but this game could have big implications on their playoff position.  The Avs are second in the division, but they only trail Vegas by four points for first and they only lead Minnesota by one point.  Essentially, they could finish as high as the top seed or as low as third, which would mean no home ice advantage.  The Avs are fresh off a two-game sweep in L.A. last week, winning both games 3-2.  Devon Toews scored his eighth and ninth goals of the season on Saturday and has been a nice addition to the back-end this year.

Jonas Johansson made 16 saves to pick up his fourth win of the season on Saturday, but the Avs are expected to go back to No. 1 goalie Philipp Grubauer on Monday.  Grubauer is second in the NHL in wins (28) and shutouts (6) this season, while his goals-against average (2.03) and save percentage (.919) are both top-10 among goalies with at least 10 games played.  It’s unlikely Nathan MacKinnon will play on Monday due to a lower-body injury.  The Avs’ leading scorer has missed the last two games and while the injury is considered minor, Colorado could be electing to let him rest before the playoffs.  MacKinnon is sixth in NHL scoring with 65 points (20G, 45A) in 47 games.

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas is in a great position heading into this game.  They have the best record in the NHL and a win on Monday will secure the top seed in the West.  The Golden Knights swept a two-game set in St. Louis last week, which is significant as the Blues will likely be their first round opponent in the playoffs.  Reilly Smith potted a hat trick in a 4-1 win on Saturday and now has 14 goals on the season.  Vegas has been led all season by Mark Stone, who has a team-high 60 points (21G, 39A) in 53 games.  There’s no word on the status of Max Pacioretty for Monday.  Pacioretty leads the Golden Knights with 24 goals this year, but he’s missed the last four games with an undisclosed injury.  It’s unlikely he’ll return against Colorado.

Marc-Andre Fleury continued climbing the all-time NHL wins leaderboard, stopping 20 of 21 shots in the win on Saturday.  Robin Lehner is expected to get the start on Monday.  After missing time at the start of the season, Lehner has been solid since his return.  He’s posted a 13-3-2 record with a 2.30 GAA and .913 SV.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Avalanche vs. Golden Knights?

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