Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Stats - October 03, 2026

Scoreboard	1	2	3	Odds
Ottawa Senators 8-5-0	1	1	1	+6
Toronto Maple Leafs 7-6-1-1	0	2	0	-110

Date	Result	Competition
10/28/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 7-6-1-1 ) Seattle Kraken SEA ( 8-4-1 ) 4 - 5	Atlantic
10/27/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 8-5-0 ) Vegas Golden Knights VEG ( 9-4-1 ) 1 - 4	Atlantic
10/26/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 7-6-1-1 ) Calgary Flames CAL ( 5-7-0 ) 2 - 5	Atlantic

Team	Puckline	Moneyline	Over / Under
Ottawa Senators OTT	+1.5 0	0	U+60
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	-1.5 0	0	O+60

Auston Matthews Center Ottawa	23	Points	16	Tim Stutzle Left Wing Toronto
Auston Matthews Center Ottawa	6	+ / -	5	Thomas Chabot Defense Toronto
Auston Matthews Center Ottawa	44	Shots	29	Drake Batherson Right Wing Toronto
Nick Cousins Center Toronto	28	Penalty Mins	26	Zack MacEwen Right Wing Ottawa
Linus Ullmark Goaltender Toronto	7	Wins	4	Anthony Stolarz Goaltender Ottawa
Anthony Stolarz Goaltender Ottawa	2.8	GAA	1.3	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Toronto

Ottawa Senators OTT Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

	Stat
0	Games Won	1
0	Games Lost	1
6-4-0	Last 10	5-4-1
0-0-0	W L Streak	1-1-0
0-0	Against The Spread	0-2
0	Money	-200
0-0-0	Home	1-1-0
0-0-0	Away	0-0-0
0-0	Total	0-2

date	home-away	ats	o/u	TOR:Shots	TOR:Goals	TOR:Assists	OTT:Shots	OTT:Goals	OTT:Assists
10/03/2026	TOR 2 - OTT 3	OTT	Under 6	29	2	4	29	3	6
09/23/2026	TOR 6 - OTT 1	TOR	Over 5.5	36	6	11	14	1	2
04/15/2026	OTT 3 - TOR 1	OTT	Under 6.5	20	1	2	38	3	6
03/21/2026	OTT 5 - TOR 2	OTT	Over 0	14	2	4	44	5	8
02/28/2026	TOR 2 - OTT 5	OTT	Over 6.5	40	5	6	23	2	4
12/27/2025	TOR 7 - OTT 5	TOR	Over 6	31	5	8	33	7	12
09/23/2025	TOR 2 - OTT 3 (OT)	OTT	Under 6.5	41	3	4	33	2	4
09/21/2025	OTT 3 - TOR 4	TOR	Over 6	20	4	5	35	3	6
05/01/2025	OTT 2 - TOR 4	TOR	Over 5.5	23	4	6	23	2	3
04/29/2025	TOR 0 - OTT 4	OTT	Under 5.5	19	4	6	29	0	0
04/26/2025	OTT 4 - TOR 3	OTT	Over 5.5	34	3	6	21	4	4
04/24/2025	OTT 2 - TOR 3 (OT)	TOR	Under 5.5	20	3	5	20	2	4
04/22/2025	TOR 3 - OTT 2	TOR	Under 6	28	2	4	21	3	5
04/20/2025	TOR 6 - OTT 2	TOR	Over 5.5	33	2	4	24	6	10
03/15/2025	TOR 2 - OTT 4	OTT	Under 6	25	4	5	23	2	2
01/25/2025	OTT 2 - TOR 1	OTT	Under 5.5	29	1	2	23	2	4
11/12/2024	TOR 0 - OTT 3	OTT	Under 6	41	3	5	27	0	0
09/24/2024	OTT 2 - TOR 1	OTT	Under 6.5	20	1	0	27	2	2
09/22/2024	TOR 5 - OTT 6 (OT)	OTT	Over 6.5	34	6	11	37	5	9

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
10/27/2026	VEG 4 - OTT 1	L	Under 6.5	26	1	1
10/24/2026	OTT 7 - NYR 4	W	Over 6	28	4	7
10/22/2026	OTT 2 - SJ 6	L	Over 6.5	28	6	10
10/21/2026	OTT 5 - FLA 1	W	Over 5.5	19	1	2
10/17/2026	PHI 3 - OTT 1	L	Under 5.5	26	1	2
10/15/2026	OTT 1 - NYI 1	L	Under 5.5	21	1	0
10/13/2026	OTT 2 - STL 7	L	Over 5.5	26	7	14
10/12/2026	NJ 1 - OTT 4	W	Under 6	20	4	6
10/10/2026	OTT 2 - NAS 2	L	Under 6	18	2	4
10/08/2026	OTT 2 - PHI 1	W	Over 0	29	1	2

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
10/28/2026	SEA 5 - TOR 4	L	Over 6.5	17	5	9
10/26/2026	CAL 5 - TOR 2	L	Over 6.5	34	5	9
10/24/2026	EDM 2 - TOR 7	W	Over 7	32	2	4
10/22/2026	TOR 5 - NYR 4	W	Over 6.5	35	5	10
10/20/2026	CLB 2 - TOR 6	W	Over 6.5	38	2	4
10/19/2026	TOR 3 - SJ 1	W	Under 7	32	3	6
10/17/2026	TOR 1 - NYI 4	L	Under 6.5	29	1	2
10/15/2026	TOR 4 - BUF 5 (OT)	L	Over 6.5	30	4	6
10/13/2026	UTAH 5 - TOR 4	L	Over 6.5	28	5	10
10/10/2026	COL 3 - TOR 6	W	Over 6.5	33	3	4

Ottawa Senators OTT

	Season stats	rank
Goals Against	2.92	10
Shots Against	26.23	10
Penalty Kill (%)	78	17
Shutouts	0	22
Penalty Mins	182	31

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

	Season stats	rank
Goals Against	3.33	25
Shots Against	29.4	26
Penalty Kill (%)	92	2
Shutouts	0	15
Penalty Mins	139	25

Ottawa Senators OTT

	Season stats	rank
Goals	2.85	21
Shots	25.46	27
Power Play (%)	13	28
Faceoff (%)	52	8
Penalty Mins	149	6

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.73	5
Shots	28.07	13
Power Play (%)	31	4
Faceoff (%)	52	7
Penalty Mins	159	3

Ottawa Senators OTT

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Warren Foegele (LW)	Ques Thurs	Knee - 28 / 10 / 26	1-1	2-0	Details
Linus Ullmark (G)	Ear Nov	Lower Body - 22 / 10 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Thomas Chabot (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 18 / 10 / 26	0-1	0-1	Details
Nikolas Matinpalo (D)	Ques Sat	Upper Body - 13 / 10 / 26	1-4	1-4	Details
William Eklund (LW)	Out Indefinitely	Ankle - 09 / 10 / 26	1-5	1-5	Details
Cameron Crotty (D)	Out indefinitely	Illness - 08 / 10 / 26	1-6	2-5	Details
Linus Ullmark (G)	Ques Thurs	Undisclosed - 06 / 10 / 26	2-6	2-6	Details
Jake Sanderson (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 04 / 10 / 26	-	-	Details
Jorian Donovan (D)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 29 / 09 / 26	-	-	Details
Kurtis MacDermid (LW)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 28 / 09 / 26	-	-	Details

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Kirill Marchenko (RW)	Early Nov	Lower Body - 27 / 10 / 26	0-1	1-0	Details
Nick Blankenburg (D)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 23 / 10 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Marshall Rifai (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 23 / 10 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jake McCabe (D)	Ques Thurs	Face - 21 / 10 / 26	1-0	1-0	Details
William Nylander (RW)	Out Mon	Illness - 19 / 10 / 26	2-1	1-2	Details
John Tavares (C)	Out Indefinitely	Undisclosed - 16 / 10 / 26	2-2	2-2	Details
Miles Wood (LW)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 15 / 10 / 26	4-2	4-2	Details
Chris Tanev (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 11 / 10 / 26	5-2	5-2	Details
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D)	Ques Sat	Undisclosed - 09 / 10 / 26	5-3	6-2	Details
John Tavares (C)	Ques Tues	Personal - 09 / 10 / 26	5-3	6-2	Details

Ottawa Senators OTT

Under is 20-6-1 in Senators last 27 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 3-0-2 in Senators last 5 Saturday games.

Senators are 2-10 in their last 12 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Senators are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 4-0 in Senators last 4 games as a favorite.

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Over is 37-17-6 in Maple Leafs last 60 Saturday games.

Over is 17-8-1 in Maple Leafs last 26 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-21 in their last 27 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 6-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Boston Bruins BOS	9-3	8-2	4-6
Montreal Canadiens MON	7-3	2-7	7-2
Florida Panthers FLA	7-4	3-6	4-5
Ottawa Senators OTT	8-5	3-6	2-7
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	7-6	5-6	6-5
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	7-3	5-4	4-5
Buffalo Sabres BUF	5-4	5-4	6-3
Detroit Red Wings DET	5-4	4-5	5-4

Ottawa Senators

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Toronto Maple Leafs

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Game Statistics

Shots

10.3

6.9

Shooting %

Penalties

Penalty Minutes

Power Plays

Goals

Team	Last 5 Matches
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 8-5-0 )	L W L W L
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 7-6-1-1 )	L W W W W

10/29/26

10:00 pm ET

Ottawa Senators OTT ( 8-5-0 )

Los Angeles Kings LA ( 3-6-2 )

vs
Matchup

10/31/26

7:00 pm ET

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 7-6-1-1 )

Vancouver Canucks VAN ( 3-10-1 )

vs
Matchup

Auston Matthews Center Ottawa	23	Points	16	Tim Stutzle Left Wing Toronto
Auston Matthews Center Ottawa	6	+ / -	5	Thomas Chabot Defense Toronto
Auston Matthews Center Ottawa	44	Shots	29	Drake Batherson Right Wing Toronto
Nick Cousins Center Toronto	28	Penalty Mins	26	Zack MacEwen Right Wing Ottawa
Linus Ullmark Goaltender Toronto	7	Wins	4	Anthony Stolarz Goaltender Ottawa
Anthony Stolarz Goaltender Ottawa	2.8	GAA	1.3	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Toronto

team	gp games_played	w games_won	l games_lost	otl games_lost_overtime
Boston Bruins BOS	13	9	3	1
Montreal Canadiens MON	12	7	3	2
Florida Panthers FLA	13	7	4	2
Ottawa Senators OTT	13	8	5	0
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	15	7	6	1
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	11	7	3	1
Buffalo Sabres BUF	12	5	4	2
Detroit Red Wings DET	12	5	4	1
Carolina Hurricanes CAR	14	10	2	1
New Jersey Devils NJ	13	8	5	0
NY Rangers Rangers NYR	14	7	6	1
Washington Capitals WAS	11	7	4	0
NY Islanders Islanders NYI	12	6	4	1
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT	12	5	6	0
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB	10	5	5	0
Philadelphia Flyers PHI	15	3	8	3

Game Preview

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs look to build on their first win of the campaign, when they host the archrival Ottawa Senators on Saturday night in NHL betting action at Scotiabank Arena.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Boston Bruins BOS	9-3	8-2	4-6
Montreal Canadiens MON	7-3	2-7	7-2
Florida Panthers FLA	7-4	3-6	4-5
Ottawa Senators OTT	8-5	3-6	2-7
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	7-6	5-6	6-5
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	7-3	5-4	4-5
Buffalo Sabres BUF	5-4	5-4	6-3
Detroit Red Wings DET	5-4	4-5	5-4

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Stats October 03, 2026

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