Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction, Odds & Stats - October 24, 2025

Scoreboard	1	2	3	Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs 27-21-8-1	2	0	1	+6
Buffalo Sabres 32-19-6	2	2	1	-125

Date	Result	Competition
02/05/26	Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 29-15-5-7 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 ) 5 - 2	Metropolitan
02/03/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 28-22-5-3 ) 5 - 2	Atlantic
02/03/26	Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 ) 3 - 4	Atlantic
02/02/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) Calgary Flames CAL ( 23-27-4-2 ) 4 - 2	Atlantic
02/02/26	Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 ) Florida Panthers FLA ( 29-25-2-1 ) 5 - 3	Atlantic
01/31/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) Vancouver Canucks VAN ( 18-33-4-2 ) 2 - 2	Atlantic
01/31/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 32-17-4-4 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 ) 4 - 2	Atlantic
01/29/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) Seattle Kraken SEA ( 27-20-5-4 ) 2 - 5	Atlantic
01/29/26	Los Angeles Kings LA ( 23-19-8-6 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 ) 1 - 4	Pacific
01/27/26	Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 ) Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) 7 - 4	Atlantic
01/25/26	Colorado Avalanche COL ( 37-9-4-5 ) Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) 4 - 1	Central

team	win	loss	last 10	w/l streak	ats	money	home	away	total
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs	3	3	4-5-1	3W	2-5	-225	3-2-1	0-1-0	5-2
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres	3	4	6-3-1	2L	3-4	-465	3-2-0	0-2-0	1-4-2

date	home-away	ats	o/u	BUF:Shots	BUF:Goals	BUF:Assists	TOR:Shots	TOR:Goals	TOR:Assists
01/27/2026	TOR 4 - BUF 7	BUF	Over 6	31	7	8	23	4	8
10/25/2025	TOR 4 - BUF 3	TOR	Over 6	26	3	6	23	4	7
10/24/2025	BUF 5 - TOR 3	BUF	Over 6	30	5	9	34	3	6
04/15/2025	BUF 0 - TOR 4	TOR	Under 6.5	32	4	6	35	0	0
12/20/2024	BUF 3 - TOR 6	TOR	Over 6.5	29	6	12	27	3	6
12/15/2024	TOR 5 - BUF 3	TOR	Over 6	27	3	6	41	5	10
03/30/2024	BUF 0 - TOR 3	TOR	Under 6.5	22	3	4	34	0	0
03/06/2024	TOR 2 - BUF 1	TOR	Under 6.5	25	1	1	27	2	4
12/21/2023	BUF 9 - TOR 3	BUF	Over 7	27	3	4	34	9	15
11/04/2023	TOR 4 - BUF 6	BUF	Over 7	41	6	7	28	4	7
09/27/2023	TOR 5 - BUF 2	TOR	Over 6	15	2	3	41	5	9
03/13/2023	TOR 3 - BUF 4	BUF	Under 7	29	4	8	28	3	5
02/21/2023	BUF 3 - TOR 6	TOR	Over 7	29	6	11	32	3	5
11/19/2022	TOR 5 - BUF 2	TOR	Over 6.5	34	2	4	23	5	9
04/12/2022	TOR 2 - BUF 5	BUF	Under 7	28	5	7	26	2	4
03/13/2022	BUF 5 - TOR 2	BUF	Over 6.5	36	2	4	38	5	6
03/02/2022	TOR 1 - BUF 5	BUF	Under 6.5	31	5	8	30	1	2
11/13/2021	BUF 4 - TOR 5	TOR	Over 6	26	5	9	27	4	6
02/16/2020	BUF 5 - TOR 2	BUF	Over 6.5	22	2	4	36	5	8
12/17/2019	TOR 5 - BUF 3	TOR	Over 6.5	30	3	6	33	5	6

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
02/03/2026	EDM 2 - TOR 5	W	Over 6.5	27	5	7
02/02/2026	CAL 2 - TOR 4	W	Under 6	22	4	6
01/31/2026	VAN 2 - TOR 2	L	Over 0	41	2	4
01/29/2026	SEA 5 - TOR 2	L	Over 6	31	2	1
01/27/2026	TOR 4 - BUF 7	L	Over 6	31	7	8
01/25/2026	TOR 1 - COL 4	L	Under 6.5	37	4	6
01/23/2026	TOR 3 - VEG 6	L	Over 6	31	6	9
01/21/2026	TOR 1 - DET 2 (OT)	L	Under 6.5	41	2	3
01/19/2026	TOR 3 - MIN 6	L	Over 6	39	6	11
01/17/2026	WIN 3 - TOR 4 (OT)	W	Over 6	37	4	8

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
02/05/2026	BUF 2 - PIT 5	L	Over 0	28	2	4
02/03/2026	TB 4 - BUF 3	L	Over 6	35	4	7
02/02/2026	FLA 3 - BUF 5	W	Over 6	42	3	6
01/31/2026	BUF 2 - MON 4	L	Over 0	38	2	4
01/29/2026	BUF 4 - LA 1	W	Under 5.5	32	4	8
01/27/2026	TOR 4 - BUF 7	W	Over 6	23	4	8
01/24/2026	NYI 0 - BUF 5	W	Under 6	26	0	0
01/22/2026	MON 2 - BUF 4	W	Under 6.5	34	2	3
01/20/2026	NAS 3 - BUF 5	W	Over 6.5	34	3	5
01/19/2026	CAR 2 - BUF 1	L	Under 6	29	2	4

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR Buffalo Sabres BUF

avg	rank	edge in	rank	avg
3.3	4	Goals Per Game	3	3.4
3.4	10	Goals Against Per Game	7	3.1
27.3	19	Shots Per Game	17	27.6
31.6	26	Shots Against Per Game	23	30.1
12.0	7	Shooting %	5	12.2
10.7	11	Opponent Shooting %	7	10.3
-4.32	29	Shot Differential Per Game	23	-2.47
12.0	7	Scoring Efficiency Ratio	5	12.2
.890	3	Save %	2	.900
.880	2	Opponent Save %	2	.880
7.1	22	Penalty Minutes Per Game	11	9.0
0.44	24	Power Play Goals Per Game	15	0.6
0.4	1	Power Play Goals Against Per Game	5	0.47
18.8	19	Power Play %	15	20.1
83.7	5	Penalty Kill %	7	82.5
2.07	7	Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio	8	2.03

offence

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.28	13
Shots	27.32	21
Power Play (%)	19	19
Faceoff (%)	56	1
Penalty Mins	404	29

Buffalo Sabres BUF

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.37	8
Shots	27.61	18
Power Play (%)	20	16
Faceoff (%)	45	32
Penalty Mins	513	13

defence

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.28	13
Shots	27.32	21
Power Play (%)	19	19
Faceoff (%)	56	1
Penalty Mins	404	29

Buffalo Sabres BUF

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.37	8
Shots	27.61	18
Power Play (%)	20	16
Faceoff (%)	45	32
Penalty Mins	513	13

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Morgan Rielly (D)	Late Feb	Upper Body - 01 / 02 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Carlo (D)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 22 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Simon Benoit (D)	Ques Mon	Upper Body - 17 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
William Nylander (RW)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 16 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nicholas Robertson (LW)	Ques Thurs	Lower Body - 13 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jake McCabe (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 04 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Chris Tanev (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Auston Matthews (C)	Ques Thurs	Lower Body - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Dakota Joshua (C)	Out indefinitely	Kidney - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
William Nylander (RW)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 28 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details

Buffalo Sabres BUF

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Zach Benson (LW)	Ques Feb 25	Upper Body - 03 / 02 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 28 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jordan Greenway (LW)	Ques Feb 25	Lower Body - 28 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Zach Benson (LW)	Ques Sat	Upper Body - 23 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jacob Bryson (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 23 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Michael Kesselring (D)	Ques Sat	Ankle - 20 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Josh Norris (C)	Out indefinitely	Ribs - 15 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Josh Dunne (C)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 13 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Michael Kesselring (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 02 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Alex Lyon (G)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Maple Leafs are 21-8 in their last 29 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Maple Leafs are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 5-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 5-2 in Maple Leafs last 7 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Buffalo Sabres BUF

Over is 5-0 in Sabres last 5 Friday games.

Over is 22-9 in Sabres last 31 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 3-0-1 in Sabres last 4 games as a favorite.

Sabres are 37-111 in their last 148 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 7-0 in Sabres last 7 games as a home underdog.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	37-14	37-17	22-28-4
Montreal Canadiens MON	32-17	30-23	21-22-10
Detroit Red Wings DET	33-19	23-32	30-22-3
Buffalo Sabres BUF	32-19	33-22	26-21-8
Boston Bruins BOS	32-20	36-20	32-23-1
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	27-21	26-29	24-29-2
Ottawa Senators OTT	28-22	35-19	26-21-7
Florida Panthers FLA	29-25	30-26	31-22-3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Buffalo Sabres

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Game Statistics

Shots

8.8

16.7

Shooting %

Penalties

Penalty Minutes

Power Plays

Goals

Team	Last 5 Matches
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )	W W W L L
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 )	L W L W W

02/25/26

7:30 pm ET

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )

Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )

vs
Matchup

02/25/26

7:00 pm ET

Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 )

New Jersey Devils NJ ( 28-27-2 )

vs
Matchup

Tage Thompson Center Toronto	59	Points	52	William Nylander Right Wing Buffalo
Mattias Samuelsson Defense Toronto	28	+ / -	17	Jake McCabe Defense Buffalo
Tage Thompson Center Toronto	204	Shots	193	Auston Matthews Center Buffalo
Peyton Krebs Center Toronto	67	Penalty Mins	36	Oliver Ekman-Larsson Defense Buffalo
Alex Lyon Goaltender Toronto	14	Wins	13	Joseph Woll Goaltender Buffalo
Joseph Woll Goaltender Buffalo	2.8	GAA	2.7	Alex Lyon Goaltender Toronto

nhl Standings Complete TOR Standings

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Montreal Canadiens MON
Detroit Red Wings DET
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Boston Bruins BOS
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Ottawa Senators OTT
Florida Panthers FLA
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
NY Islanders Islanders NYI
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB
Washington Capitals WAS
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
New Jersey Devils NJ
NY Rangers Rangers NYR

Game Preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction, NHL Odds

The Leafs look to snap a two-game slide with their first road win of the season when they travel down the QEW to face the Sabres on Friday in NHL betting action at KeyBank Center.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	37-14	37-17	22-28-4
Montreal Canadiens MON	32-17	30-23	21-22-10
Detroit Red Wings DET	33-19	23-32	30-22-3
Buffalo Sabres BUF	32-19	33-22	26-21-8
Boston Bruins BOS	32-20	36-20	32-23-1
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	27-21	26-29	24-29-2
Ottawa Senators OTT	28-22	35-19	26-21-7
Florida Panthers FLA	29-25	30-26	31-22-3