Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 28, 2025

Game Scheduled
Atlantic
Dec 28th, 7:00 PM EST
Toronto
Maple Leafs
W L L L W
Detroit
Red Wings
W W L W W
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Detroit Red Wings
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Toronto Maple Leafs 16-15-4-1      
Detroit Red Wings 22-13-1-2      

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/23/25
Dallas Stars DAL ( 25-7-4-2 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 22-13-1-2 )
3   -   4
 Central
12/23/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-12-4-5 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 16-15-4-1 )
3   -   6
 Metropolitan
12/21/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 16-15-4-1 )
Dallas Stars DAL ( 25-7-4-2 )
1   -   5
 Atlantic
12/21/25
Washington Capitals WAS ( 19-13-1-4 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 22-13-1-2 )
2   -   3
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 16-15-4-1 )
Nashville Predators NAS ( 16-16-4 )
3   -   5
 Atlantic
12/20/25
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 22-13-1-2 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 19-13-1-4 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic
12/18/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 16-15-4-1 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 19-13-1-4 )
0   -   4
 Atlantic
12/17/25
Utah Mammoth UTAH ( 18-18-3 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 22-13-1-2 )
4   -   1
 Central
12/16/25
Chicago Blackhawks CHI ( 13-17-4-2 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 16-15-4-1 )
2   -   3
 Central
12/16/25
NY Islanders Islanders NYI ( 20-13-0-4 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 22-13-1-2 )
2   -   3
 Metropolitan
12/13/25
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 22-13-1-2 )
Chicago Blackhawks CHI ( 13-17-4-2 )
4   -   0
 Atlantic
12/13/25
Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 19-13-4-2 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 16-15-4-1 )
6   -   3
 Pacific

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
16 15 4-4-1-1 1W 13-23 -1446 11-5-4-1 5-10-0 21-12-3
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
22 13 8-2-0 3W 19-19 -275 12-7-1 10-6-0-2 19-15-4

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u DET:Shots DET:Goals DET:Assists TOR:Shots TOR:Goals TOR:Assists
10/13/2025 TOR 2 - DET 3 DET Under 6 15 3 5 40 2 3
10/11/2025 DET 6 - TOR 3 DET Over 6 35 6 8 23 3 5
10/04/2025 DET 6 - TOR 5 DET Over 6 42 6 12 25 5 7
10/02/2025 TOR 1 - DET 3 DET Under 6 42 3 4 19 1 2
04/17/2025 TOR 4 - DET 3 TOR Over 6 34 3 5 20 4 8
12/27/2024 DET 2 - TOR 5 TOR Over 5.5 23 5 9 25 2 4
12/14/2024 DET 4 - TOR 2 DET Under 6 25 2 4 26 4 6
11/08/2024 TOR 3 - DET 1 TOR Under 6 22 1 2 20 3 4
10/05/2024 TOR 3 - DET 2 TOR Under 6 20 2 3 33 3 5
10/03/2024 DET 0 - TOR 2 TOR Under 6 25 2 4 30 0 0
04/13/2024 TOR 4 - DET 5 (OT) DET Over 6.5 32 5 10 36 4 5
01/14/2024 TOR 2 - DET 4 DET Under 7 24 4 5 30 2 3
11/17/2023 DET 2 - TOR 3 TOR Under 6.5 29 3 6 29 2 2
10/07/2023 DET 4 - TOR 3 DET Over 6 24 3 6 32 4 8
10/05/2023 TOR 4 - DET 3 TOR Over 6.5 23 3 5 38 4 5
04/02/2023 TOR 2 - DET 5 DET Over 6.5 24 5 7 45 2 4
01/12/2023 DET 4 - TOR 1 DET Under 6 33 1 2 23 4 7
01/07/2023 TOR 4 - DET 1 TOR Under 6.5 23 1 2 29 4 8
11/28/2022 DET 2 - TOR 4 TOR Under 6.5 25 4 8 44 2 4
10/08/2022 TOR 5 - DET 1 TOR Under 6.5 19 1 2 26 5 9
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/23/2025 TOR 6 - PIT 3 W Over 6 32 3 4
12/21/2025 DAL 5 - TOR 1 L Under 6 28 1 1
12/20/2025 NAS 5 - TOR 3 L Over 6 22 3 6
12/18/2025 WAS 4 - TOR 0 L Under 6 22 0 0
12/16/2025 TOR 3 - CHI 2 W Under 5.5 25 2 3
12/13/2025 TOR 3 - EDM 6 L Over 6 37 6 8
12/11/2025 TOR 2 - SJ 3 (OT) L Under 6 32 3 5
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 W Under 6 29 0 0
12/06/2025 TOR 1 - MON 1 L Under 6 34 1 2
12/04/2025 CAR 1 - TOR 5 W Under 6 24 5 9
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/23/2025 DET 4 - DAL 3 W Over 6 25 4 8
12/21/2025 DET 3 - WAS 2 W Under 6 27 3 6
12/20/2025 WAS 2 - DET 5 W Over 5.5 26 2 4
12/17/2025 DET 1 - UTAH 4 L Under 6 28 1 1
12/16/2025 DET 3 - NYI 2 W Under 6 21 3 5
12/13/2025 CHI 0 - DET 4 W Under 6 26 0 0
12/11/2025 EDM 4 - DET 1 L Under 7 29 4 8
12/10/2025 CAL 3 - DET 4 W Over 6 37 3 3
12/08/2025 VAN 0 - DET 4 W Under 6 39 0 0
12/06/2025 SEA 3 - DET 4 W Over 6 27 3 6

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Detroit Red Wings DET
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.2 5 Goals Per Game 6 3.1
3.3 10 Goals Against Per Game 9 3.2
27.0 18 Shots Per Game 7 29.5
31.1 25 Shots Against Per Game 11 27.4
11.8 4 Shooting % 14 10.5
10.7 12 Opponent Shooting % 16 11.5
-4.11 30 Shot Differential Per Game 7 2.16
11.8 4 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 14 10.5
.890 4 Save % 5 .880
.880 3 Opponent Save % 4 .890
7.6 20 Penalty Minutes Per Game 15 8.6
0.33 23 Power Play Goals Per Game 6 0.76
0.44 2 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 7 0.53
13.0 27 Power Play % 8 24.8
83.3 5 Penalty Kill % 16 80.4
1.99 8 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 22 1.64

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.19 9
Shots 26.97 22
Power Play (%) 13 32
Faceoff (%) 57 1
Penalty Mins 274 29
Detroit Red Wings DET
Season stats rank
Goals 3.11 14
Shots 29.53 7
Power Play (%) 25 8
Faceoff (%) 52 8
Penalty Mins 327 15
defence
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.19 9
Shots 26.97 22
Power Play (%) 13 32
Faceoff (%) 57 1
Penalty Mins 274 29
Detroit Red Wings DET
Season stats rank
Goals 3.11 14
Shots 29.53 7
Power Play (%) 25 8
Faceoff (%) 52 8
Penalty Mins 327 15

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Detroit Red Wings DET

Toronto vs. Detroit Betting News

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
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Toronto Vs Detroit Betting Trends

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Over is 3-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 Sunday games.

Maple Leafs are 21-8 in their last 29 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 5-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.

Under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Detroit Red Wings DET

Red Wings are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.

Under is 5-0-2 in Red Wings last 7 Sunday games.

Under is 4-1 in Red Wings last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

Under is 4-1 in Red Wings last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 games as a home underdog of +151 to +200.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Toronto Maple Leafs
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Detroit Red Wings
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player