Vikings vs. Texans Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Sep 30, 2020

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Both the Minnesota Vikings and the Houston Texans made the playoffs last season but both come into their Week 4 contest 0-3.

Minnesota
7-9
AT
October 04, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
NRG Stadium
Houston
4-12
Pointspread +3.5 -110
Moneyline +145
Over / Under o +53.5

41%

Betting Action

59%

Pointspread -3.5 -110
Moneyline -175
Over / Under u +53.5

41%

Betting Action

59%

This isn’t the start that either team was expecting when the schedule was first released but they are continuing to fight to get their season back on track. The Texans are using the excuse that they’ve had a tough schedule to start but they haven’t looked great in the process. Is that the case or are they simply just not a very good team this year?

NFL Week 4 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The under is 6-2 in the Vikings last eight games when coming in as the road underdog in the matchup and 4-1 in their last five games in Week 4. However, the over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Minnesota is 8-2-1 ATS in their past 11 games during the month of October and 39-14 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up loss. The Vikings are also 4-0 ATS in their last four matchups against the Texans.

The under is 5-1 in the Texans last six games after a straight up loss in the game prior and 9-2 in their last 11 when coming in as the home favorite. To make the under even more enticing, it is also 8-2 in their last ten when coming in as the favorite in the matchup. Houston is 14-4 ATS in their past 18 games in Week 4 but only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings are coming off their best game of the young season and yet they still weren’t able to close it out and get the victory. Quarterback Kirk Cousins was able to throw for 250 yards and three touchdowns, but unfortunately, he threw two interceptions. He had just six interceptions all of last season but has six through three games in 2020. Running back Dalvin Cook ran for a whopping 181 yards and a touchdown and rookie Justin Jefferson had 175 receiving yards, so there were some positive signs.

The offense has to limit their turnovers as they turned it over three times and missed a field goal. They need to stop putting their defense out on the field in bad situations and need to take much better care of the football. On defense, their inexperienced, banged up unit will have its hands full with the Texans. However, Houston hasn’t scored more than 21 points in a game this season, so it’s not as if they’ve been explosive just yet.

Houston Texans

The Texans may be 0-3 but a lot of that is in part of their incredibly tough schedule that saw them play the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers through their first three games. Those three teams are a combined 7-2.

Last week, the Texans lost to the Steelers, a game in which they again had an uneven effort. Franchise quarterback Deshaun Watson threw for 264 yards to go along with his two touchdowns but threw a bad interception. The team scored no points after halftime, which indicates they’re struggling to make adjustments.

They were just unable to generate any type of run game against this tough Steelers defense, though, and that is something that must improve if they want to beat a good Vikings team. Their entire team combined for only 29 total rushing yards, that just won’t cut it against above average teams. They are ranked second-last in terms of rushing yards per game through three weeks at just 66.0 per game. That has to improve if they’re to get they are to right this ship.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Vikings vs. Texans?

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