Vikings vs. Chiefs Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 9 Odds

Charlie Grant | Updated Oct 31, 2019

matt moore patrick mahomes chiefs

Whether it’s Matt Moore or Patrick Mahomes playing on Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs will need a big time performance from their defence.

November 03, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium
Pointspread -5.5 -110
Moneyline -242
Over / Under o +46


Betting Action


Pointspread +5.5 -110
Moneyline +201
Over / Under u +46


Betting Action


The excitement surrounding the premier matchup of Week 9 of the NFL season is tempered because of the uncertain status of league MVP Patrick Mahomes. The Kansas City Chiefs are being tight-lipped about whether their star quarterback will suit up for their home battle against the 6-2 Minnesota Vikings.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Oddsmakers delayed opening the spread for this game because Mahomes’ injury. His status has a huge impact on the line in this contest. The Chiefs could be as high as 4-point home favourites with Mahomes under centre or low as 3-point underdogs if Matt Moore gets the nod.

Kansas City lost and failed to cover as a 5-point dog last weekend against the Green Bay Packers in KC’s first game without Mahomes starting this season. Mahomes suffered his knee injury during a win over Denver. Moore played well in mop-up duty and put in a respectable performance against the Pack.

The Vikings are one of the hottest teams in the league. They’re 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last four games – with impressive wins over the Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles. 

The Chiefs remain one of the top favourites to win the Super Bowl despite their so-so record (5-3 SU). Sports Interaction lists KC at +500 to win the AFC and +1400 to win the Super Bowl.

Minnesota strong form has improved its futures outlook. The Vikings are tied with the Dallas Cowboys for the fourth lowest odds to win the NFC at +800. Only the New Orleans Saints (+250), Packers (+400), and San Francisco 49ers own shorter odds to come out of the conference.

The Purple People Eaters could have some value to lift the Lombardi Trophy too. Minnesota is 18/1 to win the Super Bowl.

Minnesota Vikings

Minny offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski loves running the ball. The Vikings rank among the league leaders in rushing attempts (32.9 per game), yards (160.1), and rushing play percentage (53.4 percent).

Running back Dalvin Cook leads the NFL in rushing yards (823) and rushing touchdowns (nine). He’s eclipsed the century mark in rushing yards in each of his last three games as well. 

The Vikings expect to have wide receiver Adam Thielen back in the lineup after a one game absence.

Kansas City Chiefs

Whether it’s Matt Moore or Patrick Mahomes playing on Sunday, the Chiefs will need a big time performance from their defence. KC’s stopping unit doesn’t exactly excel at, well, you know – stopping people.

Kansas City particularly struggles slowing down the run game. It ranks 30th in rushing yards allowed (145 per game) and its opponents are averaging eight rushing first downs per game. That’s the fourth worst mark in the NFL.

Who Will Win Vikings vs. Chiefs?