Vikings vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 26, 2019

NFL: Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings

The Minnesota Vikings have won each of its 2019 pre-season games by at least six points. They prevailed 20-9 at home against the Arizona Cardinals last week.

August 29, 2019, 7:00 PM ET
New Era Field
Pointspread -3 -114
Moneyline -171
Over / Under o +35
Pointspread +3 -106
Moneyline +143
Over / Under u +35

It’s a matchup of two unbeaten teams to close the pre-season on Thursday night – every team plays on Thursday this week – as the Minnesota Vikings visit the Buffalo Bills.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

One last reminder the very few starters on any team will play in Week 4. They wouldn’t have regardless but when a team like the Houston Texans loses top running back Lamar Miller to a torn ACL in a pre-season game, well, other coaches are going to take notice of that and rest their important guys.

The Vikings have been spectacular in the pre-season under Coach Mike Zimmer as he has a 20-4 record. Zimmer is looking for his third unbeaten pre-season. He’s 3-2 all-time in Week 4. Buffalo is 6-5 under Sean McDermott and 2-0 in Week 4.

These teams have split the past six pre-season meetings both straight up and against the spread. They last played in 2017 and the Vikings prevailed 17-10 in Buffalo. They played last year in Week 3 of the regular season in Minneapolis and the Vikings were one of the biggest upset losers ever, 27-6. They closed as 16.5-point favourites. Then-rookie quarterback Josh Allen threw for a touchdown and ran for two to lead Buffalo. Minnesota couldn’t run the ball whatsoever so Kirk Cousins put it up 55 times, completing 40 for 296 yards, a touchdown and interception. Cousins also lost a fumble on a third-down sack inside Minnesota’s 20-yard line on each of the first two possessions. Those led to 10 Bills points.

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota has won each of its 2019 pre-season games by at least six points. It prevailed 20-9 at home against the Arizona Cardinals last week. Cousins played one series and was 4-for-4 for 65 yards and a touchdown. Relative unknown 24-year-old running back Mike Boone has been one of the stories of camp and rushed for 70 yards and a touchdown on four carries. Dalvin Cook had two carries for 88 yards and a touchdown in his pre-season debut. You won’t see Cousins on Thursday and thus likely plenty of Sean Mannion, Kyle Sloter and Jake Browning. One interesting battle to watch is at kicker between Dan Bailey and Kaare Vedvik, whom the Vikings acquired from Baltimore via trade earlier this month. Bailey didn’t play last week and Vedvik missed both field-goal attempts.

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo was a 24-20 winner in Detroit last Friday. Allen was 3 of 6 for 49 yards in the first half and had an interception negated by a penalty. He surely won’t play here. Matt Barkley was 12-for-14 for 142 yards and a touchdown. Should be plenty of him and Tyree Jackson on Thursday. Buffalo lost guard Quinton Spain and cornerback Tre’Davious White to injuries vs. the Lions. McDermott originally planned to play his team’s starters into the third quarter but changed his mind and sent out the second team to start the second half. Three other offensive linemen are dealing with injuries and were inactive last Friday.