Titans vs. Patriots Point Spread: NFL Divisional Playoffs Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Jan 12, 2018

tom-brady-patriots

It’s the third playoff meeting between these franchises if you go back to the Titans’ days as the Houston Oilers. The last one was following the 2003 season, a 17-14 New England home victory.

Tennessee
9-7
AT
January 13, 2018, 8:15 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
Pointspread +14 -110
Moneyline +650
Over / Under o +48

36%

Betting Action

64%

Pointspread -14 -110
Moneyline -900
Over / Under u +48

36%

Betting Action

64%

Enjoy Saturday night’s AFC Divisional Round game between the Tennessee Titans and New England Patriots in Foxboro, NFL fans, as it’s your last Saturday football action of the season. The Patriots are easily the biggest Sports Interaction betting favourites of the weekend.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

That 13-point spread will be the biggest of these playoffs regardless of what happens going forward. It’s not scaring off bettors so far as the New England Patriots are taking more than 70 per cent of the early action. It’s the fifth time in Patriots history they have been a double-digit home favourite in a postseason game. They are 4-0 SU & 2-2 ATS. The largest spread ever in a Divisional Round game was last year with New England -16.5 vs. Houston, and the Pats won 34-16.

The last time the Titans were double-digit underdogs against anyone was Week 15 of the 2015 season. They were +14 at New England, which won 33-16. Tom Brady threw for 267 yards and two touchdowns. Tennessee starting quarterback Marcus Mariota left injured in the second quarter and didn’t return. His backup Zach Mettenberger threw two interceptions. He’s hasn’t played in an NFL game since that season. The Titans haven’t won at New England since 1993 and have covered just one of their past five there.

New England is the -175 favourite to win the AFC title again with Tennessee at +1800. For Super Bowl LII, the Patriots are +162 to repeat and the Titans +3300 long shots.

Tennessee Titans

The biggest surprise of Wild-Card Weekend was sixth-seeded Tennessee (10-7 SU, 9-7-1 ATS) as an 8.5-point underdog going to AFC West champion Kansas City and winning 22-21 despite trailing 21-3 midway through the third quarter. The comeback started on a play you may never see again: Marcus Mariota catching his own deflected pass and running it in for a 6-yard touchdown. Derrick Henry got it to 21-16 on a 35-yard TD run early in the fourth, and Mariota hit Eric Decker for the game-winning 22-yard score with 6:06 to go.

It was a stunning choke job for the Chiefs considering how dominant they were in the first half. With starting running back DeMarco Murray out with an injury, Henry played nearly every snap and rushed for 156 yards and a TD on 23 carries and caught two balls for 35 yards. Murray might play this week, but Henry’s is clearly featured back now.

New England Patriots

The top-seeded Patriots (13-3 SU, 11-5 ATS) won’t ever admit so publicly, but they are thrilled to face the Titans instead of the high-powered Chiefs, who opened the 2017 season with a shocking 42-27 upset victory at Gillette Stadium. Tennessee is better on defence than the Chiefs but not even close offensively. Tennessee was tied for 23rd in the league with a minus-4 turnover differential thanks in large part to Mariota’s 15 interceptions.

Could this be the last run for this Patriots group? ESPN.com released a story last week detailing some turmoil in the organization between Coach Bill Belichick, QB Tom Brady and owner Robert Kraft. Brady and Kraft aren’t going anywhere. Both of Belichick’s coordinators are expected to get other head coaching jobs; in fact, OC Josh McDaniels was rumoured as a candidate for the Titans job had Tennessee not made the playoffs. Now Mike Mularkey is safe.

Titans vs. Patriots Predictions

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