Texans vs. Jaguars Point Spread: NFL Week 9 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Nov 03, 2020

Deshaun Watson,Texans, 2020

The Texans are 5-1-2 ATS in their last eight games on the road against a team with a losing home record. Houston travels to Jacksonville in Week 9.

Houston
4-12
AT
November 08, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
TIAA Bank Field
Pointspread -7 +100
Moneyline -310
Over / Under o +48.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

Pointspread +7 -120
Moneyline +255
Over / Under u +48.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

The Houston Texans are at 1-6 and haven’t had much success so far this season. However, they are fresh off a bye week and get a bit of a layup on Sunday as they’ll visit the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are also 1-6. The Jags will also be without quarterback Gardner Minshew II. Can the Texans win as expected or is it a bad idea to lay a touchdown with the Texans on the road?

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The over is 4-0 in the Texans last four games on the road and 4-0 in their past four games after generating less than 90 rushing yards in the game prior. However, the under has been 7-2 in their last nine games following a straight up loss. Houston is also 5-1-2 ATS in their last eight games on the road against a team with a losing home record and only 3-7-1 in their past 11 games as the favorite.

Meanwhile, the over is 5-1 in the Jaguars past six games against AFC South opponents and 5-2 in their last seven games in November. Unfortunately, Jacksonville is 0-4 ATS in their past four games following an ATS loss and 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. But they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following their bye week.

Houston Texans

Houston has been very underwhelming all season long and much of that is to blame on their horrendous offseason trade that sent their All-Pro receiver DeAndre Hopkins over to the Arizona Cardinals in exchange for David Johnson. Johnson hasn’t done enough for the offense as this Texans team ranks dead-last in rushing yards per game. Since Hopkins has been gone, Watson hasn’t been able to have a consistent receiver all season, with his top two option being Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks.

They still rank 15th in the NFL in total offense but much of that is to do with them always playing from behind. Their defense is 30th in the league in total defense and has allowed an average of 31 points per game, which makes things very difficult for the Texans to win games. The good news is their defense should get an easy one this week against the hapless Jaguars.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville has been about as good as everyone expected heading into this season, which is awful. After getting rid of Leonard Fournette, Calais Campbell and Yannick Ngakoue in the offseason (for almost nothing in return), the team was expected to tank. They looked competitive for a little bit but they’re fading by the week.

The have found a hidden gem in their undrafted rookie running back James Robinson, who is 11th in NFL in rushing yards. However, there just aren’t enough bright spots beyond that. They are 24th in yards and 26th in points per game. Now they’ll be turning to journeyman Mike Glennon to step in here. Sure, the Texans are bad but the Jags just don’t have much talent overall. The Texans have enough playmakers to make the difference here.

Who Will Win Texans vs. Jaguars?

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