Texans vs. Chiefs Point Spread: NFL Divisional Playoffs Prediction, Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jan 07, 2020

kansas city chiefs 2020

The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-point favourites against Houston, but are only 1-9 against the spread in their past 10 playoff home games.

January 12, 2020, 3:05 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium
Pointspread +9.5 +105
Moneyline +340
Over / Under o +50.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -9.5 -126
Moneyline -418
Over / Under u +50.5


Betting Action


Sunday’s NFL Divisional Round playoff doubleheader opens from the AFC as the fourth-seeded Houston Texans visit the No. 2 Kansas City Chiefs.

NFL Playoff Betting Odds

Houston was the only home team to win on Wild-Card Weekend. The winner of this game will play Saturday’s Tennessee-Baltimore winner in the AFC title game. The Texans would host the Titans but visit the Ravens. The Chiefs would do the same. Houston is +1400 to win the AFC title and a +2800 long shot at Sports Interaction to win the Super Bowl. Kansas City is +175 and +350, respectively.

It’s the second-ever post-season meeting between these franchises. In the Wild-Card Round on Jan. 9, 2016, Kansas City won 30-0 in Houston before losing at New England in the Divisional Round. The Chiefs’ QB then was Alex Smith, while Houston’s was Brian Hoyer and he was just terrible with four interceptions and a lost fumble.

Now the Chiefs and Texans have the two most exciting young quarterbacks in the NFL in Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson, both picked in the first round of the 2017 NFL Draft. Those two faced off for the first time in Week 6 in Kansas City and Houston pulled off the 31-24 upset. Watson was intercepted twice but threw for 280 yards and a score while rushing for two. Carlos Hyde rushed for 116 yards and a touchdown. Mahomes threw for 273 yards and three touchdowns, two to speedster Tyreek Hill. Mahomes did turn it over twice. Kansas City was up 17-3 after one quarter.

The road team is 6-1 against the spread in the past seven meetings.

Houston Texans

The Texans are one of four active franchises to never play in a Super Bowl, joining Cleveland, Jacksonville and Detroit – all of which missed the playoffs. They haven’t even reached an AFC title game yet, going 0-3 all-time in Divisional Round games. All three were on the road. Watson led a come-from-behind 22-19 overtime win last week over visiting Buffalo. The Bills were up 16-0 in the third quarter. He threw for a score and ran for one, and miraculously avoided a sack in overtime and completed a 34-yard pass to help set up Ka’imi Fairbairn’s 28-yard field goal for the win. Three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year J.J. Watt had been out since around mid-season due to injury but was back and had a big sack. Houston is 1-7-1 ATS in its past nine after an ATS win.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs surely never expected to have a first-round bye but were gifted one in Week 17 when New England was shocked as a 17-point home favourite against Miami. The Chiefs did their part with a 31-21 win over the Chargers, their sixth straight victory. Mahomes is a talent unlike any in the NFL and this is arguably the most electric offence in the league. The defence was a problem last year – largely why the Chiefs lost at home in the AFC title game to the Patriots – and early this season but has been vastly better since Week 11. Safety Tyrann Mathieu, an off-season addition, has been a big part of that. Hiring coordinator Steve Spagnuolo also was huge. The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS in their past 10 playoff home games.

Who Will Win Texans vs. Chiefs?