Super Bowl 59 Prop Bets: Coin toss odds and betting history

For the second time in three years, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will meet in the Super Bowl. Before either team can make history, they’ll have to go through one of the most anticipated pre-game rituals, the coin toss.

Is ‘tails never fails’ accurate? Have teams actually benefitted by losing the toss? Let’s dig into the history of the Super Bowl coin toss.

Printable Super Bowl 59 Party Prop Bets

Super Bowl 59 coin toss odds

The coin toss is a 50/50 result, so it’s no surprise that oddsmakers have set heads and tails at -102 each.

The Super Bowl is a neutral site game, but the NFL alternates between the AFC and NFC champions as the designated home and away teams each year. This year’s call goes to the Kansas City Chiefs as the “away team”. The Chiefs have actually won three of the last four Super Bowl coin tosses, including two years ago against Philadelphia.

Both sides of the coin have benefitted Kansas City. They successfully called heads in 2021 and 2024, while they won with tails when the Eagles made the wrong call in 2023.

The Eagles have made four previous Super Bowl appearances. In their first two appearances, they won the coin toss with tails, but lost the game. Philly bucked the trend in 2017, losing the coin toss with heads, but going on to win the game. And of course, they lost the toss with tails and lost the game against KC in 2023.

Recent Super Bowl coin toss results

Over the last decade, tails has come up six times, although it’s been heads in three of the last four years.

Sure, the Chiefs have won the coin toss and the game in the last two Super Bowls, but winning the toss doesn’t do much for your chances to win the game overall. Kansas City’s two-year run of luck broke a streak of eight straight years in which the winner of the coin toss went on to lose the game.

Andy Reid and co. will be hoping the old adage ‘good things come in threes’ is true for more than just the coin toss.

Super Bowl coin toss history

As should be expected, it’s a pretty even split when it comes to coin toss results in Super Bowl history. Tails has a slight 30-28 edge since the first Super Bowl in 1967, while the longest streak for both sides is four years.

The coin toss outcome was heads every year from 1990 to 1993, which also featured the Bills losing each of those Super Bowls. Tails has had three different streaks of four years: 1998 to 2001, 2003 to 2006 and 2014-17.

Super Bowl 59 coin toss prediction

I’ve correctly picked the Super Bowl coin toss in three straight Super Bowls and four of the last five, so depending on how you look at it, I’ve either got luck on my side or I’m do for a loss.

Now, no one has ever mistaken me for a math expert, but even I know that over time, the all-time coin toss results should regress back to 50 per cent, so I’m calling heads for the second year in a row. Tails’ all-time coin toss lead will be cut to 30-29 on Feb. 9.