Saints vs. Lions Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Oct 01, 2020

Matthew Stafford, Lions, 2020

The Lions are coming off their first win in 11 months after a tight 26-23 win in Arizona over the Cardinals last week. They are underdogs at home to the Saints on Sunday.

AT
October 04, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
Ford Field
Detroit
5-11
Pointspread -3 -115
Moneyline -160
Over / Under o +52.5

78%

Betting Action

22%

Pointspread +3 -105
Moneyline +133
Over / Under u +52.5

78%

Betting Action

22%

A pair of 1-2 teams will be looking to even their records as the Saints head to Detroit on Sunday for a matchup with the Lions.

Expectations were certainly higher for the Saints when they season started, but after tough matchups in the first three weeks, Drew Brees and company have a chance to get back in the win column against a struggling Lions defense.  The Saints are four-point favourites with an opening total of 54.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams and the Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Lions, but these teams haven’t met since a 52-38 Saints home win in 2017.

The over is 7-1 in Detroit’s last eight home games and 5-1 in their last six home games as underdogs.  The Lions are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 250 passing yards in the previous game and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing record.  New Orleans is 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing record and the over is 5-1 in their last six games overall.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints knew last weeks matchup with the Packers would be tough and despite losing 37-30 at home, there were positives.  Drew Brees looked much better, finishing with 288 passing yards and three TDs, connecting 13 times with Alvin Kamara.  Kamara finished with 137 receiving yards and two TDs and now leads the Saints in both rushing and receiving yards.

If New Orleans wants to make a deep run this year, issues need to be worked out on the defensive side of the ball.  The Saints defense is allowing an average of 31.3 points per games, giving up 37 points last week to the Packers and 34 points to the Raiders in Week 2.  They are also allowing 252 passing yards per game, 20th in the league.

A positive side note is the return of receiver Michael Thomas to practice.  It looks like he’s close to returning which should alleviate some of the pressure off Kamara, so if New Orleans can figure things out defensively, they are about to get much more dangerous.

Detroit Lions

The Lions are coming off their first win in 11 months after a tight 26-23 win in Arizona over the Cardinals last week.  Matt Prater was clutch, hitting all four of his field goal attempts, including the winning kick as time expired.  Quarterback Matthew Stafford finished with 270 passing yards and two TDs and the Lions defense picked off Kyler Murray three times.

A huge boost to Detroit has been the return of receiver Kenny Golladay.  After leading the NFL with 11 receiving TDs last year, Golladay missed the first two games of this season with a hamstring injury, but returned last week to pick up one TD on six receptions with 57 yards.

Who Will Win Saints vs. Lions?

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