Saints vs. Buccaneers Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 11 Odds

Frank Doyle | Updated Nov 14, 2019

Drew Brees New Orleans Saints

Last Sunday was the first time that the Saints failed to score a touchdown at home when quarterback Drew Brees was under centre.

November 17, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
Pointspread -5.5 -110
Moneyline -231
Over / Under o +50.5


Betting Action


Pointspread +5.5 -110
Moneyline +192
Over / Under u +50.5


Betting Action


Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints look to bounce back on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers after they turned in a performance that their veteran quarterback deemed “unacceptable” in last week’s loss to Atlanta. Following that loss, as a 14-point favourite, Saints bettors are hoping to see their squad get back on track in Week 11.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

New Orleans opened as a 5.5-point favourite on the road with nearly two-thirds of bettors backing the visiting team. The Saints are 7-2 straight up and 6-3 against the spread (ATS). The Buccaneers snapped a four-game losing streak with last week’s home win over Arizona, but the Bucs are still riding a five-game skid ATS.

If you’re into trends, you might be interested in playing over the 50-point total for this one. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have played over and Tampa Bay has played over in seven of its nine games this season. More than 80 percent of over/under bets are currently on the over.

New Orleans Saints

Last Sunday was the first time that the Saints failed to score a touchdown at home when Brees was under centre. So, you have to think this team will be out to light up the scoreboard. Brees completed 32 of his 45 passing attempts for 248 yards last week, but a stalled running game didn’t give him much help. The Saints managed just 52 yards on 11 rushes. Expect New Orleans to pound the rock now that Alvin Kamara has a game under his belt after missing two games with an ankle injury. When Brees was out with his broken thumb, the Saints running game carried the water for the Saints and they’ll need to get back to the ground to open up the passing game. However, that might be tough against Tampa’s run defence.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs don’t have much going for them, but they can stop the run. Tampa Bay ranks first overall in allowing just 77.8 rushing yards per game and held Arizona to 75 yards on the ground in last week’s 30-27 victory. Jameis Winston had a day with 358 passing yards and a touchdown and running back Ronald Jones piled up 106 yards from scrimmage and scored a major. Still, while the Bucs moved the ball against Arizona’s 31st-ranked defence, they couldn’t cover the spread as 5.5-point favourites. Now, can they keep it going against Brees and a New Orleans defence that ranks fifth overall?

Who Will Win Saints vs. Buccaneers?