Washington vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 9 Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Oct 29, 2019

John Brown, Cole Beasley, Josh Allen, Bills, 2019

This marks the fifth time in eight games the Bills have been favoured – and the results in the previous four games might give bettors pause. Buffalo has gone just 1-3 ATS in four games as a fave this season.

Washington
3-13
AT
November 03, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
New Era Field
Buffalo
10-6
Pointspread +10.5 -113
Moneyline +441
Over / Under o +37

41%

Betting Action

59%

Pointspread -10.5 -107
Moneyline -553
Over / Under u +37

41%

Betting Action

59%

The Buffalo Bills’ vaunted defence disappointed greatly in their Week 8 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles – but they’re in position to bounce back in a big way as the Bills host lowly Washington. The Eagles dropped 31 points on the Bills in rainy, windy conditions, dropping Buffalo to 5-2 – but things should be much easier this time around against a Washington team that has just one victory in eight games and is averaging the third-fewest points in the league.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

This marks the fifth time in eight games the Bills have been favoured – and the results in the previous four games might give bettors pause. Buffalo has gone just 1-3 ATS in four games as a fave this season, including back-to-back non-covers against Miami and Philadelphia. The Bills are now 2-5 ATS in their last seven when favoured, while Washington comes in having gone an incredible 7-2 ATS in its previous nine games as an underdog of seven or more points.

A sub-40 total seems inevitable when one of the top defensive units in the league hosts one of the NFL’s most anemic offences. And the majority of Washington’s recent totals trends would support that, most notably the fact that it comes in on a five-game Under streak (and just 29.4 points scored in those games on average.) But while Buffalo is 5-2 to the Under in its last seven, it has gone an impressive 20-8 O/U in its last 28 games on home turf.

Washington

Washington hasn’t scored more than 17 points since Week 2 – and help won’t be here in time for Sunday’s showdown in Buffalo. Running back Derrius Guice has returned to practice and is on track to return to the lineup in Week 11, the earliest he’s eligible to do so. Guice has been on IR since the season opener after tearing the meniscus in his knee; Adrian Peterson (97 carries, 383 yards, 1 TD) will get the start against a Buffalo defence allowing 4.2 yards per carry.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills entered this week’s trade deadline armed with a boatload of mid- and late-round picks with which they could have upgraded the lineup – but they opted to stand pat instead. Consider it a show of faith in a team that has already defied expectations, going 4-1 ATS prior to subpar showings vs. the Dolphins and Eagles. And they’re well-positioned to go on a run, with their next four opponents (Washington, Cleveland, Miami, Denver) sporting a collective record of 5-25.

Who Will Win Washington vs. Bills?

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