MNF Ravens vs. Browns Point Spread: NFL Week 14 Odds, Prediction

Andy McNamara | Updated Dec 11, 2020

Baker Mayfield, Browns, 2020

The Ravens are playing a prime-time game for a second straight week. They are a slight favourite versus the Browns.

Baltimore
11-5
AT
December 14, 2020, 8:15 PM ET
FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland
11-5
Pointspread -3 -112
Moneyline -169
Over / Under o +45.5

39%

Betting Action

61%

Pointspread +3 -108
Moneyline +141
Over / Under u +45.5

39%

Betting Action

61%

The Ravens own a 21-4 mark (straight up) over the Browns under Head Coach John Harbaugh. Can that dominance continue on Monday night?

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

It’s the second meeting of 2020 for these AFC North rivals. Cleveland looks to hold onto their top wildcard spot and inch closer to their first postseason berth since 2002. On the other side, Baltimore will try to stay in the playoff hunt after snapping a three game losing skid on Tuesday.

In their first encounter Baltimore won the season opener in convincing fashion 38-6, and lead the all-time head-to-head series 32-11. The visiting Ravens are a slim 2.0-point favourites and the Over/Under is set at 47.0 from FirstEnergy Stadium.

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore’s one dimensional offense has been exposed in 2020, but largely due to an easy schedule they’ve been able to stay in the thick of the wildcard race. In their defeats the Ravens opposition have forced Lamar Jackson to throw the football and focus on slowing down the rushing attack. Jackson’s medium and long distance accuracy (especially on passes to the outside) has not improved, and puts the club’s pass ranking dead last. However, the reigning MVP’s legs along with the stable of running backs keeps them in every matchup and has the franchise sitting first in average rushing yards per game (169.0).

When it comes to defense, Baltimore is 12th in takeaways, tied for 15th in sacks, and eighth overall. The Ravens are 6-1 against the spread (ATS) when facing a divisional opponent. When on the road versus a team with a winning record, it’s been the Under on total points that’s hit in four out of their past five.

Cleveland Browns

After beating the Titans, Cleveland secured their first above .500 season since 2007 and are riding a four game winning streak. Instead of the NFL’s second place rushing unit taking over last Sunday it was Baker Mayfield chucking up four touchdowns to further grow the team’s offense. Mayfield has tossed six TDs in his past two outings, and hasn’t thrown an interception since Oct. 25. It will be interesting to see if the Ravens defense tries to hone in on one particular area, and how Cleveland head coach Kevin Stefanski counters that.

The Browns were gashed by Mark Andrews in their Week 1 battle, and have allowed the second most fantasy points to tight ends. Lamar Jackson’s deep ball struggles means that Andrews will likely be a focal point once again. Myles Garrett is tied for third in the league in sacks (10.5), and will need to balance his aggressiveness to both contain and harass Jackson in the backfield.

Like I outlined above with the Ravens, Cleveland also shows strong recent trends to the Under in O/U point totals. The Browns are 9-2 in favour of the Under as a home team taking on a club with an above .500 road record.

Who Will Win Ravens vs. Browns?

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