Ravens vs. Browns Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction
The Ravens are catching fire at the right time — three straight wins has been a product of both the return of Lamar Jackson under centre and the defence figuring itself out. All of three wins have been by at least eight points and the Ravens not allowed over 19 points since October 5. And suddenly these 4-5 Ravens are a single game out of top spot in the AFC North.
The 2-7 Browns sit in the bottom of the division again, and again are having difficulty putting up points. Rookie quarterback Dillon Gabriel is now on track his sixth-straight start but the team has a lone with him under centre and Gabriel’s cracked 200 passing yards just once. Cleveland’s 16.2 points per game ranks 29th in the NFL, which is troublesome as the Ravens roll into town.
Kickoff at Huntington Bank Field goes at 4:25 p.m. EST with the Ravens coming in as -7.5 favourites on the point spread and the over-under at 39.5 on the NFL Week 11 odds.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Big bad Baltimore is what Cleveland fans would remember these Ravens portraying in recent years as they’ve won 14 of the last 20 meetings with Cleveland this past decade. Baltimore is also 13-4 against the spread in their last 17 trips to Cleveland, which on Sunday would be mean winning by at least a touchdown if not more. The one silver lining for Cleveland is they’ve played solid at home so far, going 2-2 with wins over Green Bay and Miami.
Baltimore won these teams’ first meeting by a score of 41-17 back in Week 2, a game in which Lamar Jackson threw four touchdown passes.
The over has hit in four of these teams last five meetings and all that’s needed to make it five of six is a sum of 40 points. However, Sunday is supposed to be around seven degrees with 38 km/h wind gusts which doesn’t bode well for the passing games or kickers, or offence in general. Baltimore’s averaged 34 carries per game over their three-game win streak too which indicates a heavy dosage of that this weekend and therefore the clock running more than not.
Baltimore Ravens
A lot of pundits are going to point toward the return of Lamar Jackson two weeks ago as to why this Baltimore team is back to looking dangerous. And while that’s totally valid, it’s currently the Ravens defence that deserves the bulk of the credit. The Ravens generated three takeaways last weekend at Minnesota which turned into 13 points and a pivotal aspect of the 27-19 win. Baltimore won the turnover battle 3-0 two weeks ago in Miami and cruised to a 28-6 victory. This defence went from allowing more than 35 points over their first five games, to giving up less than 15 per game over their last four.
Offensively, the Ravens still could use a little more in the pass-catching area. Zay Flowers has led the team in receiving in all but one game this season and while he’s as consistent as they come with at least 60 yards in seven of nine outings, Flowers’ 625 yards on the season is almost 400 higher than any other Ravens player. Mark Andrews (244) and DeAndre Hopkins (208) are the only two other plays above 200 yards this season. Someone needs to step up, desperately.
Cleveland Browns
With 264.9 yards allowed per game, the Browns are giving up the second-fewest yards per game this season. Cleveland is still 2-7 and it’s often times because of an inability to put up points, hence the 29th-ranked offence when it comes to points per game. But last weekend it was a new phase of the game letting Cleveland down: special teams. In the 27-20 defeat at New York, the Browns allowed back-to-back return touchdowns and they obviously mattered a ton.
Cleveland yet again relied on the ground game last week, with rookie Quinshon Judkins receiving 22 carries and Gabriel even taking off five times for 54 rushing yards. Jerry Jeudy had his best outing of the season with six catches for 78 yards and a score so the Browns to build off of offensively for once as they prepare to duel with one of the league’s hottest defences.
BAL
CLE