Ravens vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Divisional Playoffs Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jan 12, 2021

lamar jackson josh allen

After Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen each picked up their first career playoff wins last week, the two young quarterbacks are set to meet in the AFC Divisional game. 

Baltimore
11-5
AT
January 16, 2021, 8:15 PM ET
New Era Field
Buffalo
13-3
Pointspread +2.5 +104
Moneyline +121
Over / Under o +50

33%

Betting Action

67%

Pointspread -2.5 -125
Moneyline -145
Over / Under u +50

33%

Betting Action

67%

This should be a tight game, with the Bills set as 2-point favourites at home and the total set at 50.

NFL Playoffs Point Spread and Betting Analysis

After Lamar Jackson’s MVP season a year ago, Baltimore’s offence dipped a little this season, mainly due to teams adjusting to the Ravens’ run-heavy game plan. Baltimore hit the over in seven games, four times at home and three times on the road, and finished 11-5-1 ATS.

Josh Allen was the biggest reason for Buffalo’s incredible turnaround, this season. The quarterback drove the offence, helping the Bills hit the over in 12 games, six each at home and on the road. Buffalo was 11-6 ATS, covering six times at home and five times on the road.

Baltimore Ravens

After early season struggles put the Ravens in a position to possibly miss the playoffs, Baltimore became one of the best teams in the NFL over the last month of the regular season. Despite only throwing for 179 yards and no touchdowns in last week’s 20-13 wild card win over the Titans, Lamar Jackson was the best player on the Ravens. Jackson rushed for a monstrous 136 yards, averaging 8.6 yards a carry and ran in a touchdown. When Jackson did throw the ball, his favourite target was Marquise Brown, who finished with 109 receiving yards, averaging 15.6 yards per catch. Not only is Brown a deep threat, but he can also run the ball and his speed opens up lanes for quick and easy completions.

If the Titans game proved anything, it’s that Baltimore has a very underrated run defence. The Ravens defence held Tennessee running back Derrick Henry, who has been literally throwing defenders aside all season, to just 40 rushing yards, averaging 2.2 yards per carry.

Buffalo Bills

It looked like the Bills were solidly in control heading into the fourth quarter against the Colts last week, but it’s playoff football and you never know what can happen. Despite giving up 14 points in the final frame, Buffalo squeaked out with a 27-24 win. Josh Allen continued his breakout year, throwing for 324 yards and two touchdowns, while also running in another touchdown. Allen’s 4,544 passing yards and 37 touchdowns were both within the Top-5 of the NFL and his ability to hit receivers by the sidelines, forces defenders to cover the entire field, opening up more options offensively.

Veteran safety Micah Hyde could be a difference maker on Saturday. Hyde broke up three passes against the Colts, including a game ending Hail Mary and also picked up seven tackles.

NFL Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Ravens vs. Bills?

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