Rams vs. Saints Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 27, 2018

john kelly rams

More than a few experts believe that the Los Angeles Rams will be a Super Bowl team this year after leading the NFL in offence last season on the way to winning the NFC West.

L.A. Rams
13-3
AT
August 30, 2018, 8:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Pointspread +5.5 -110
Moneyline +205
Over / Under o +34
Pointspread -5.5 -110
Moneyline -255
Over / Under u +34

It’s the final week of the NFL pre-season (with every game on Thursday), which means that most starters on every team will not play a snap. Here, we look at Rams-Saints from the Big Easy.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

L.A. is a -200 favourite to repeat in the division, +550 to win the NFC and +800 to win the Super Bowl. Only the Patriots and Packers have shorter SB odds (both +700; the Eagles are also +800). The Rams have a regular-season win total of 9.5, with the over a huge -223 favourite. In fact, that’s the biggest over number on the Sports Interaction NFL futures board.

New Orleans also has a Super Bowl-calibre team after winning the NFC South last season at 11-5. The Saints beat the Carolina Panthers in the wild-card round but then lost at Minnesota on the most astounding (and gut-wrenching if you were a Saints backer) finish in NFL playoff history. New Orleans is a +150 favourite to repeat in the South, +1200 to win the NFC and +1600 to win the second Super Bowl in franchise history.

The Saints visited the Rams in Week 12 last year and lost 26-20. Jared Goff threw for 354 yards and two scores for L.A. Sammy Watkins had a TD catch, but he’s now in Kansas City. Drew Brees, a lock first-ball Hall of Famer, threw for 246 yards and a score for New Orleans. Alvin Kamara, the 2018 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, had 188 yards from scrimmage and a TD catch.

Los Angeles Rams

The Rams opened the pre-season with a blowout loss in Baltimore but then won back-to-back home games over Oakland and Houston. Second-year coach Sean McVay has rested almost all of his first-team offence all pre-season – neither Goff nor superstar running back Todd Gurley has taken a snap. That’s not going to change Thursday. Rookie running back John Kelly has really shone in Gurley’s place. The sixth-rounder will make the team, without question.

The Rams’ best defensive player and maybe the best overall in the NFL, tackle Aaron Donald, continues to hold out looking for the richest contract for a defensive player in league history. It’s thought that Donald will report for the season opener. Backup QB Sean Mannion has been disappointing in the pre-season but will start and play about a half vs. New Orleans.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints are 2-1 this pre-season, losing their lone home game 20-15 to Arizona. Absolutely no chance we see Brees in this one; it will be Tom Savage and Taysom Hill under centre. Saturday’s 36-7 win at the Chargers was the New Orleans debut of first-round pick and defensive end Marcus Davenport as he had been banged up. He had three tackles and a half-sack. Davenport is +1600 to win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year. It’s possible that Saints starting running back Mark Ingram does play because he’s suspended the first four games of the regular season. Coach Sean Payton thus might want Ingram to get the work.

Rams vs. Saints Prediction

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