Rams vs. Chiefs Point Spread: NFL Week 12 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Nov 24, 2022

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The Super Bowl hangover is real. The Los Angeles Rams have lost four straight games and six out of their last seven.

L.A. Rams
5-12
AT
November 27, 2022, 4:25 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium
Pointspread +16 -112
Moneyline +780
Over / Under o +42

58%

Betting Action

42%

Pointspread -16 -108
Moneyline -1054
Over / Under u +42

58%

Betting Action

42%

Nothing looks like it’s clicking for them at this point in the year. 

That’s the complete opposite of the Kansas City Chiefs, who are rolling. Kansas City has won four straight games and six out of their last seven behind Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce, who are both having MVP-caliber campaigns. All signs point towards the Chiefs dominating this game, but could the Rams make it closer than expected? 

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

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The Rams have failed to cover seven straight when allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game. They are also 1-3-1 ATS in their past five games played on the road and 3-8 ATS when going up against teams with a winning record. As for the total, the under is 4-1 in their last five against teams with a winning record on the year. 

Kansas City is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games played at home. That’s quite surprising. Kansas City has also dominated the past six meetings against the Rams going 5-0-1 ATS. 

Los Angeles Rams

The best player on the team this season, Cooper Kupp, is not available as he’s still on injured reserve following ankle surgery. To make matters worse, Matthew Stafford has been shelved along with backup quarterback John Wolford. And the team also cut running back Darrell Henderson. So, who exactly is going to play on Sunday? The offense doesn’t look like it’s ready to compete in the slightest right now with the way so many injuries. Even with both Jalen Ramsey and Aaron Donald bolstering the defense, it’s not going to be enough.

The Henderson waiving was a weird move as he was their leading rusher. Are there issues in the locker room? 

Los Angeles remains the second-worst rushing team in the league both in total yards and average yards per game on the ground. With Henderson now gone, it looks like Cam Akers can resume his lead rushing duties after the drama of him wanting a trade and not receiving it. Los Angeles has a lot of problems they need to solve. 

Kansas City Chiefs

It doesn’t look like there’s anybody that can realistically stop this Chiefs offense. Teams can only hope to slow them down enough to win but few have been able to. 

Patrick Mahomes is the league’s leading passer by nearly 300 yards, throwing for 3,265 in total. Not to mention his 28 touchdowns compared to seven interceptions. Travis Kelce has been the best receiving option with 855 yards and 11 touchdowns. Many people believed that the team would fall off in the passing game after Tyreek Hill left was traded but they’re still cooking just fine.

The only problem is that most of those pickups are battling injuries. Juju Smith-Schuster has been huge for them this year but remains questionable to suit up here. Mecole Hardman is on injured reserve and Kadarius Toney is questionable himself. You can expect another heavy dose of Mahomes and Kelce magic, which is more than enough to get the job done.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Rams vs. Chiefs?

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