The Kansas City Chiefs hope to add to their division rivals’ misery and lock up the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoff picture in the process.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Raiders are coming off an emotional 27-14 win over the Denver Broncos as 2.5-point underdogs in what likely was their last home game in Oakland. The Silver and Black improved to 4-11 straight up and 6-9 against the spread on the season.
Jon Gruden’s team is playing a bit above expectations of the oddsmakers in recent weeks. The club is 3-1 against the number in its last four games, with outright wins against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Denver Broncos mixed in.
Kansas City’s momentum has slowed considerably since it started the year off 9-1 SU in its first 10 games and a perfect 7-0 ATS in its first seven contests. The Chiefs are 0-2 SU over the last two weeks and 0-5-1 against the number in their last six matchups.
While the books have caught up with the Chiefs on the spread, they haven’t been able to slow down the Over roll. Kansas City owns a 10-4-1 Over/Under record and the Over is 5-0 in the squad’s last five games. That being said, the Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these two AFC West foes.
Bettors are wondering if the Raiders will come out flat in the season finale after the emotional high they played with just a week ago. Will the team be able to match the intensity of the Denver game with nothing to play for?
The win over the Broncos most likely means the Raiders won’t land the first overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft. Arizona stands alone as the only team in the NFL with fewer than four wins.
There are questions being asked if Derek Carr will return as the Raiders starting quarterback in 2019. He’s regressed a bit over the last few seasons and he looked awful at the start of this year. Still, he’s taking care of the football. Carr has gone 10 straight games without throwing an interception.
Kansas City Chiefs
A win against Oakland would be a huge significance for Kansas City. The team hasn’t finished with the best record and the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs since 1997.
Damien Williams might be the key to Sunday’s game. The Chiefs’ drop off in success has been linked with the departure of running back Kareem Hunt. The hope was that Spencer Ware could pick up the slack but he pulled his hamstring at the beginning of the month and has been out of commission since then.
Williams rushed for over 100 yards on just 13 carries last weekend against the Seahawks. He appears to have good enough hands to fit into head coach Andy Reid’s offence.