Raiders vs. Browns Point Spread: NFL Week 15 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Dec 20, 2021

The Browns could be in trouble on Saturday as a significant COVID outbreak could see as many as 11 starters, including quarterback Baker Mayfield, miss the game.

Las Vegas
10-7
AT
December 20, 2021, 5:00 PM ET
FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland
8-9
Pointspread -3 -110
Moneyline -171
Over / Under o +41.5

58%

Betting Action

42%

Pointspread +3 -110
Moneyline +142
Over / Under u +41.5

58%

Betting Action

42%

The Cleveland Browns will be looking to win consecutive games for the first time in over two months when they host the Las Vegas Raiders on Saturday.  Cleveland got back in the win column last week with an important 24-22 divisional win against the Ravens.   The Raiders, on the other hand, were blown out 48-9 in Kansas City and now sit last in the AFC West.

As of Thursday afternoon, Las Vegas is a 1-point favourite to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 38.5.  Keep an eye on the line though, as it could significantly shift based on Cleveland’s COVID situation.  The Browns originally opened as 6.5-point favourites before the COVID outbreak, while the total has plummeted from its 43.5 opening.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Raiders have come out on top in the last three meetings between these teams, including a 16-6 decision in Cleveland last year.  The total has gone Under in five of the last seven head-to-heads.

Las Vegas’ miserable season continues and they come into Saturday with losses in five of their last six games.  They’ve been a terrible cover option, going 5-8 against the spread overall and 1-5 ATS in their last six.  Dating back to last season, the total has gone Over in 12 of the Raiders’ last 18 games.

The Browns have been much better at home this year, where they’re 5-2 compared to 2-4 on the road.  Like the Raiders, Cleveland is 5-8 ATS overall and 1-5 ATS in their last six.  They’ve also failed to cover in four of their last five home games.  The total has gone Under in four of Cleveland’s last five home games against the Raiders.

Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas is having one of the most tumultuous seasons in recent sports history with major issues on and off the field.  Despite going 1-5 in their last six games, the Raiders are actually just one game back of a wild-card spot thanks to their 5-1 start to the season.  It was another disastrous outing for Las Vegas last week against Kansas City.  The Raiders gave up a defensive touchdown on the first play from scrimmage and turned the ball over five times.  They have now allowed 32 points or more in four of their last five games.  Just as troubling, they’ve failed to score 17 or more points in five of their last six games.

Derek Carr threw for 263 yards with one touchdown and one interception last week.  Hunter Renfrow was the most productive receiver, finishing with 117 yards and a touchdown on 13 catches.  It was Renfrow’s third straight game with at least eight catches and 100 yards, a franchise record.  Cornerback Trayvon Mullen left the game in the third quarter with a toe injury.  It was Mullen’s first game back since originally suffering the injury in Week 4.  He’s been listed as a non-participant at practice this week, so it seems unlikely he will play on Saturday.

Cleveland Browns

The biggest storyline affecting this game is clearly Cleveland’s COVID outbreak.  Currently there are 12 Browns players on the COVID list, including Mayfield, Jarvis Landry, Wyatt Teller, Jedrick Willis, David Njoku, Austin Hooper, Takkarist McKinley and John Johnson III.  Head coach Kevin Stefanski also tested positive for COVID.  Vaccinated players and coaches need two negative COVID tests before they are eligible to return, so it’s a waiting game for Cleveland right now.

If Mayfield isn’t cleared to play on Saturday, Case Keenum will get his second start of the season.  In his only previous start this year, Keenum went 21-for-33, passing for 199 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions.  Even assuming the majority of the team is healthy and play, this is still a Browns offence that has scored more than 24 points just once over their last seven games.  Running back Kareem Hunt‘s status is also unclear after he left last week’s game with an ankle injury.  It was only his second game back after missing the previous five with a calf injury.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Raiders vs. Browns?

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