Patriots vs.Texans Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 13 Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Nov 28, 2019

deandre hopkins houston texans

The Texans are in a fight for top spot in the AFC South and things could take a turn for the worse Sunday as they host the conference-leading New England Patriots.

December 01, 2019, 8:20 PM ET
NRG Stadium
Pointspread -3.5 -110
Moneyline -190
Over / Under o +47


Betting Action


Pointspread +3.5 -110
Moneyline +158
Over / Under u +47


Betting Action


Houston has a one-game cushion over Indianapolis and Tennessee following last week’s 20-17 triumph over the Colts, but they’re installed as slight home underdogs for Week 13 against a Patriots team that has won back-to-back games to maintain a two-game lead over Buffalo atop the AFC East.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

You have to go back to Christmas Day 2017 to find the last time the Texans received points at home – and some bettors might not have the stomach to take the hosts, given that Houston is just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games as a home underdog. Also working in the visitors’ favour: New England is 6-2 ATS in its previous eight road games and has covered seven of its last 10 games against AFC opponents dating back to the middle of last season.

The total for this game sits in the middle of the pack at 45; nearly two thirds of Sports Interaction participants are taking the Under. On one hand, that goes along with the prevailing trends for both sides: The Patriots come in having gone 4-1 to the Under in their past five contests, while the Texans are a sizzling 8-1 in favour of the under of their last nine home games. But it’s worth noting that the Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between the teams.

New England Patriots

It seems like the only thing that can slow the Patriots down is a virus (though to be fair, it does a pretty good job slowing down non-football players, as well.) Eight different Patriots players missed practice earlier this week as a flu bug works its way through the locker room, while offensive tackle Marcus Cannon participated but was limited. It isn’t clear whether the illness will keep any of the impacted players out of the New England lineup this weekend.

Houston Texans

Texans head coach Bill O’Brien learned just about everything there was to learn as an assistant under Bill Belichick – except for how to beat him. O’Brien has gone 0-5 SU in his five career meetings with his former boss, with New England having beaten Houston in eight consecutive head-to-head encounters overall. But the Texans come in having been red-hot at NRG Stadium, winning their last four games there while averaging 31.5 points per game in that span.

Who Will Win Patriots vs. Texans?