Opposing teams don’t like seeing Tom Brady angry – and believe us, he’s angry. Brady and the New England Patriots look to avenge a humiliating home loss in their season opener as they trek to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome for what should be a fast-paced affair with the New Orleans Saints. These teams surrendered a combined 71 points in their respective openers, so look for some offensive fireworks on the Bayou.
New England Patriots vs. New Orleans Saints
Point Spread: Patriots -6.5 Date: Sunday, September 17, 1 p.m. Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The line has shifted two points in the Patriots’ favor since a -4.5 opener, suggesting that bettors are expecting Brady and the Patriots to figure things out following last week’s 42-27 stunner at the hands of the Kansas City Chiefs. Sports Interaction is offering +135 for a New England touchdown as the first scoring play of the game, so if you suspect Brady will come out firing against New Orleans’ suspect defense, it’s a good shot to take.
The game’s 55.5-point total isn’t high nearly enough to dissuade Sports Interaction bettors from leaning to the over at an 83-percent clip. They’re also overwhelmingly on the side of the Patriots at the current line (94 percent). But one factor to consider: there is little empirical data from which to draw. These teams have met just twice since 2009, with both teams winning in their own stadium. Combined point totals for those matchups? 55 and 57, respectively.
New England Patriots
Losing wide receiver Julian Edelman for the season was a crushing blow to the New England offense, but Danny Amendola was equal to the task in Week 1, hauling in six passes for 100 yards in defeat. Unfortunately, Amendola is recovering from a concussion he suffered in that game and might not be available. If he sits out, you can expect Brady to lean heavily on pass-catching backs James White and Dion Lewis, along with deep threat Brandin Cooks.
New Orleans Saints
Saints quarterback Drew Brees couldn’t get much of anything going in Minnesota on Monday night – and by the time he did, it was too late. Much of Brees’ struggles can be traced to a wildly ineffective run game that managed just 60 yards on 21 carries against the Vikings’ vaunted defense. But we all know what this offense looks like at the Superdome – and Brees should be able to count on a much better performance from his running backs.
Patriots vs. Saints Prediction
Patriots 38, Saints 31