The Monday Nighter heads to the AFC East with the Buffalo Bills hosting the New England Patriots as both teams fight for top spot in the division.
One of the most important games remaining in the AFC this season concludes Week 13 around the NFL as the New England Patriots visit the Buffalo Bills on Monday night. The Bills are 3-point favourites to win on the NFL odds with a total of 44 points.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Monday is the first of two – maybe three if we include playoffs – meetings between the Patriots and Bills as they play again in Week 16. At 8-4, New England has a half-game lead over Buffalo (7-4) in the AFC East, but the Bills obviously have a game in hand as New England still hasn’t had its by week, which comes following this game. To win the AFC East, Buffalo is -148 and New England +115. The top seed in the conference also is in play, currently held by Baltimore (8-3). The Ravens don’t play the Bills or Patriots.
It has to be truly aggravating to Bills fans that they finally got rid of Tom Brady, who simply never lost to Buffalo, and that it appeared the AFC East opened up for the Bills and Josh Allen to dominate for the next decade … only for New England to apparently strike gold at quarterback again in rookie Mac Jones, who is going to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year (which Brady never did) barring a late-season faceplant.
The Patriots are 14-3 against the spread in their past 17 trips to Buffalo.
New England Patriots
New England is on an NFL-high six-game winning streak both straight up and against the spread following a 36-13 domination of a very good Tennessee Titans team on Sunday – the Patriots have won five of the six games by double digits. QB Mac Jones threw for a career-high 310 yards vs. Tennessee with two TDs and no picks. Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels puts Jones in position to succeed with a short passing game that essentially serves as a glorified running game.
The defence has been spectacular in the winning streak. Cornerback JC Jackson is making a push for NFL Defensive Player of the Year as he had his seventh interception of the season Sunday, one off the league lead. Jackson is the first player since Richard Sherman (2012-13) to record at least seven interceptions in consecutive seasons. The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their past five road games.
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo has alternated wins and losses over its past seven and is off a 31-6 victory in New Orleans last Thursday. Josh Allen threw four TD passes but also two picks. Allen has seven interceptions in the past four games, so that’s a potential worry sign. It’s the first time in his career that Allen has thrown at least one pick in four straight games.
That win was very costly as All-Pro cornerback Tre’Davious White suffered a season-ending knee injury; that literally could be the difference in the Bills reaching the Super Bowl or not. White allowed a 50.8 completion percentage and 58.9 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks, both fourth best among defensive backs with 50-plus targets this season. White had not allowed a passing TD. Buffalo is 4-0-1 ATS in its past five vs. the AFC East.
NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Patriots vs. Bills?
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time | fav | line | total |
---|---|---|---|
Opening 23 Nov 11:00pm | NE | -3.5 -106 | O +46 -110 |
Closing 7 Dec 12:58am | NE | -3 -105 | O +39.5 -105 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Patriots Team Leaders
Touchdowns |
15 |
Rushing |
929 |
Passing |
3801 |
Receiving |
83 |
Sacks |
12.5 |
Interceptions |
8 |
Touchdowns |
10 |
Rushing |
870 |
Passing |
4407 |
Receiving |
103 |
Sacks |
7 |
Interceptions |
5 |
Touchdowns |
2 |
Rushing |
30 |
Passing |
232 |
Receiving |
7 |
Sacks |
0 |
Interceptions |
0 |
Touchdowns |
5 |
Rushing |
134 |
Passing |
637 |
Receiving |
10 |
Sacks |
1 |
Interceptions |
1 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Bills Team Leaders
Touchdowns |
15 |
Rushing |
929 |
Passing |
3801 |
Receiving |
83 |
Sacks |
12.5 |
Interceptions |
8 |
Touchdowns |
10 |
Rushing |
870 |
Passing |
4407 |
Receiving |
103 |
Sacks |
7 |
Interceptions |
5 |
Touchdowns |
2 |
Rushing |
30 |
Passing |
232 |
Receiving |
7 |
Sacks |
0 |
Interceptions |
0 |
Touchdowns |
5 |
Rushing |
134 |
Passing |
637 |
Receiving |
10 |
Sacks |
1 |
Interceptions |
1 |
Weather

temp | 36 |
condition | cloudy |
wind | West 27mph |
Injuries
Ja'Whaun Bentley (LB)
Jamie Collins Sr. (LB)
David Andrews (C)
Cody Davis (DB)
Nick Folk (K)
Lawrence Guy (DL)
Damien Harris (RB)
Brandon King (LB)
Jakobi Meyers (WR)
Jalen Mills (CB)
Mario Addison (DE)
Ed Oliver (DT)
Efe Obada (DE)
Ryan Bates (OL)
Taiwan Jones (RB)
Vernon Butler (DT)
Micah Hyde (S)
Jaquan Johnson (S)
Ed Oliver (DT)
Jordan Poyer (S)
Injuries
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ja'Whaun Bentley (LB) | day-to-day | Arm - 15 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Bentley exited Saturday's game versus the Bills with an arm injury, and it is unknown if he will return. |
|||||
Jamie Collins Sr. (LB) | Ques Sat | Ankle - 12 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Collins Sr. has an ankle ailment, and it is up in the air if he will take the field for the AFC wild-card game versus the Bills. |
|||||
David Andrews (C) | Ques Sat | Shoulder - 11 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Andrews has a shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will line up against the Bills in the AFC wild-card game. |
|||||
Cody Davis (DB) | Ques Sat | Wrist - 11 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Davis is nursing a knee injury, and it is up in the air if he will play in the AFC wild-card game against the Bills. |
|||||
Nick Folk (K) | Ques Sat | Knee - 11 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Folk is managing a left knee injury, leaving his status against the Bills in the AFC wild-card game clouded. |
|||||
Lawrence Guy (DL) | Ques Sat | Shoulder - 11 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Guy is limited by a shoulder injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up for the AFC wild-card game versus the Bills. |
|||||
Damien Harris (RB) | Prob Sat | Hamstring - 11 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Harris is managing a hamstring injury, but he is projected to take on the Bills in the AFC wild-card game. |
|||||
Brandon King (LB) | Ques Sat | Toe - 11 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
King is hindered by a toe issue, and it has yet to be announced if he will take on the Bills in the AFC wild-card game. |
|||||
Jakobi Meyers (WR) | Prob Sat | Thigh - 11 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Meyers is hampered by a thigh injury, but it is expected that he will participate in the AFC wild-card game versus the Bills. |
|||||
Jalen Mills (CB) | Out indefinitely | Illness - 11 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Mills has been added to the IR/COVID-19 list, and it has yet to be decided when he will return to action. |
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mario Addison (DE) | Prob Sun | Shoulder - 16 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 1-1 | + - |
Addison is hampered by a shoulder injury, but it is expected that he will be available to battle the Chiefs in the AFC divisional round. |
|||||
Ed Oliver (DT) | Prob Sun | Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 1-2 | + - |
Oliver is hobbled by an ankle injury, but it is not expected to affect his status for Sunday's showdown against the Jets. |
|||||
Efe Obada (DE) | Ques Sun | Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 1-2 | + - |
Obada is nursing an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up for the AFC divisional round versus the Chiefs. |
|||||
Ryan Bates (OL) | Prob Sun | Knee - 03 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 1-2 | + - |
Bates is nursing a knee injury, but it is anticipated that he will suit up Sunday against the Jets. |
|||||
Taiwan Jones (RB) | Ques Sun | Knee - 30 / 12 / 21 | 3-0 | 2-2 | + - |
Jones is battling a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will take on the Falcons on Sunday. |
|||||
Vernon Butler (DT) | Ques Sun | Illness - 29 / 12 / 21 | 3-0 | 2-2 | + - |
Butler sat out the previous match ailing from an illness, and it has yet to be established if he will partake in Sunday's tilt with the Jets. |
|||||
Micah Hyde (S) | Prob Sun | Forearm - 29 / 12 / 21 | 3-0 | 2-2 | + - |
Hyde is expected to line up against the Falcons on Sunday despite a forearm injury. |
|||||
Jaquan Johnson (S) | Prob Sun | Illness - 29 / 12 / 21 | 3-0 | 2-2 | + - |
Johnson is managing an illness, but it is likely that he will take on the Falcons on Sunday. |
|||||
Ed Oliver (DT) | Ques Sun | Ankle - 29 / 12 / 21 | 3-0 | 2-2 | + - |
Oliver has an ankle issue, leaving his status for Sunday's matchup with the Falcons clouded. |
|||||
Jordan Poyer (S) | Prob Sun | Shoulder - 29 / 12 / 21 | 3-0 | 2-2 | + - |
Poyer is projected to be available against the Falcons on Sunday despite a shoulder injury. |
-
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
20 -
BUFFALO BILLS
23
Score
Prediction
-
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time fav line total Opening 23 Nov 11:00pm NE -3.5 -106 O +46 -110 Closing 7 Dec 12:58am NE -3 -105 O +39.5 -105 -
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Patriots Team Leaders
Touchdowns 15
Rushing 929
Passing 3801
Receiving 83
Sacks 12.5
Interceptions 8
Touchdowns 10
Rushing 870
Passing 4407
Receiving 103
Sacks 7
Interceptions 5
Touchdowns 2
Rushing 30
Passing 232
Receiving 7
Sacks 0
Interceptions 0
Touchdowns 5
Rushing 134
Passing 637
Receiving 10
Sacks 1
Interceptions 1
-
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Bills Team Leaders
Touchdowns 15
Rushing 929
Passing 3801
Receiving 83
Sacks 12.5
Interceptions 8
Touchdowns 10
Rushing 870
Passing 4407
Receiving 103
Sacks 7
Interceptions 5
Touchdowns 2
Rushing 30
Passing 232
Receiving 7
Sacks 0
Interceptions 0
Touchdowns 5
Rushing 134
Passing 637
Receiving 10
Sacks 1
Interceptions 1
-
Weather
temp 36 condition cloudy wind West 27mph -
Injuries
Ja'Whaun Bentley (LB)
day-to-day Arm - 15 / 01 / 22Jamie Collins Sr. (LB)
Ques Sat Ankle - 12 / 01 / 22David Andrews (C)
Ques Sat Shoulder - 11 / 01 / 22Cody Davis (DB)
Ques Sat Wrist - 11 / 01 / 22Nick Folk (K)
Ques Sat Knee - 11 / 01 / 22Lawrence Guy (DL)
Ques Sat Shoulder - 11 / 01 / 22Damien Harris (RB)
Prob Sat Hamstring - 11 / 01 / 22Brandon King (LB)
Ques Sat Toe - 11 / 01 / 22Jakobi Meyers (WR)
Prob Sat Thigh - 11 / 01 / 22Jalen Mills (CB)
Out indefinitely Illness - 11 / 01 / 22Mario Addison (DE)
Prob Sun Shoulder - 16 / 01 / 22Ed Oliver (DT)
Prob Sun Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22Efe Obada (DE)
Ques Sun Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22Ryan Bates (OL)
Prob Sun Knee - 03 / 01 / 22Taiwan Jones (RB)
Ques Sun Knee - 30 / 12 / 21Vernon Butler (DT)
Ques Sun Illness - 29 / 12 / 21Micah Hyde (S)
Prob Sun Forearm - 29 / 12 / 21Jaquan Johnson (S)
Prob Sun Illness - 29 / 12 / 21Ed Oliver (DT)
Ques Sun Ankle - 29 / 12 / 21Jordan Poyer (S)
Prob Sun Shoulder - 29 / 12 / 21Injuries
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Ja'Whaun Bentley (LB) day-to-day Arm - 15 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Bentley exited Saturday's game versus the Bills with an arm injury, and it is unknown if he will return.
Jamie Collins Sr. (LB) Ques Sat Ankle - 12 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Collins Sr. has an ankle ailment, and it is up in the air if he will take the field for the AFC wild-card game versus the Bills.
David Andrews (C) Ques Sat Shoulder - 11 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Andrews has a shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will line up against the Bills in the AFC wild-card game.
Cody Davis (DB) Ques Sat Wrist - 11 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Davis is nursing a knee injury, and it is up in the air if he will play in the AFC wild-card game against the Bills.
Nick Folk (K) Ques Sat Knee - 11 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Folk is managing a left knee injury, leaving his status against the Bills in the AFC wild-card game clouded.
Lawrence Guy (DL) Ques Sat Shoulder - 11 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Guy is limited by a shoulder injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up for the AFC wild-card game versus the Bills.
Damien Harris (RB) Prob Sat Hamstring - 11 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Harris is managing a hamstring injury, but he is projected to take on the Bills in the AFC wild-card game.
Brandon King (LB) Ques Sat Toe - 11 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - King is hindered by a toe issue, and it has yet to be announced if he will take on the Bills in the AFC wild-card game.
Jakobi Meyers (WR) Prob Sat Thigh - 11 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Meyers is hampered by a thigh injury, but it is expected that he will participate in the AFC wild-card game versus the Bills.
Jalen Mills (CB) Out indefinitely Illness - 11 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Mills has been added to the IR/COVID-19 list, and it has yet to be decided when he will return to action.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Mario Addison (DE) Prob Sun Shoulder - 16 / 01 / 22 2-0 1-1 + - Addison is hampered by a shoulder injury, but it is expected that he will be available to battle the Chiefs in the AFC divisional round.
Ed Oliver (DT) Prob Sun Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22 2-0 1-2 + - Oliver is hobbled by an ankle injury, but it is not expected to affect his status for Sunday's showdown against the Jets.
Efe Obada (DE) Ques Sun Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22 2-0 1-2 + - Obada is nursing an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up for the AFC divisional round versus the Chiefs.
Ryan Bates (OL) Prob Sun Knee - 03 / 01 / 22 2-0 1-2 + - Bates is nursing a knee injury, but it is anticipated that he will suit up Sunday against the Jets.
Taiwan Jones (RB) Ques Sun Knee - 30 / 12 / 21 3-0 2-2 + - Jones is battling a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will take on the Falcons on Sunday.
Vernon Butler (DT) Ques Sun Illness - 29 / 12 / 21 3-0 2-2 + - Butler sat out the previous match ailing from an illness, and it has yet to be established if he will partake in Sunday's tilt with the Jets.
Micah Hyde (S) Prob Sun Forearm - 29 / 12 / 21 3-0 2-2 + - Hyde is expected to line up against the Falcons on Sunday despite a forearm injury.
Jaquan Johnson (S) Prob Sun Illness - 29 / 12 / 21 3-0 2-2 + - Johnson is managing an illness, but it is likely that he will take on the Falcons on Sunday.
Ed Oliver (DT) Ques Sun Ankle - 29 / 12 / 21 3-0 2-2 + - Oliver has an ankle issue, leaving his status for Sunday's matchup with the Falcons clouded.
Jordan Poyer (S) Prob Sun Shoulder - 29 / 12 / 21 3-0 2-2 + - Poyer is projected to be available against the Falcons on Sunday despite a shoulder injury.