Packers vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Week 6 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Oct 13, 2021

Rookie Justin Fields has officially taken over as the Chicago Bears' starting QB, but he'll face a tough test against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers.

Green Bay
9-3
AT
October 17, 2021, 1:00 PM ET
Soldier Field
Chicago
4-7
Pointspread -6 -116
Moneyline -263
Over / Under o +44.5

75%

Betting Action

25%

Pointspread +6 -104
Moneyline +218
Over / Under u +44.5

75%

Betting Action

25%

The Green Bay Packers are headed to the Windy City in Week 6, to face the Chicago Bears.  Green Bay improved to 4-1 on the season with a 25-22 overtime win in Cincinnati last week, bringing their win streak to four games.  Chicago (3-2) is also coming off a win, after taking down the Raiders 20-9 in Las Vegas, last week.

The Packers are 4.5-point favourites to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 45.0.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Green Bay has dominated this head-to-head series.  The Packers have won 10 of their last 11 trips to Soldier Field and four straight games against Chicago overall, including both meetings last year.  Nearly 80 per cent of Sports Interaction bettors are banking on other win for the Pack, while 60 per cent are taking the Over.  Six of the last 10 games in this series have gone Over, including both of last year’s contests.

Outside of the season opener, Green Bay has strung together some wins.  Including playoffs, the Packers have won 11 of their last 13 games overall, dating back to last season.  Six of Green Bay’s last nine outings have hit the Over, but they’ve fallen short of the number in three of five games this season.  The Packers are 4-1 against the spread in 2021 and 6-1 ATS in their last seven October games.

It hasn’t gone smoothly for Chicago against the Packers over the last few years.  The Bears have dropped nine of their last 10 games against Green Bay, with their last win coming in 2018.  The total has gone Under in four of Chicago’s five games this year and 15 of their last 20 at home.  The Bears are 3-2 ATS in 2021, but they’ve failed to cover in seven of their last 10 games against NFC North opponents.

Green Bay Packers

Things haven’t gone as smoothly as Green Bay’s record may suggest.  The Packers have actually been tied or trailing in the final seconds of two of their last three games.  It took a 49-yard field goal from Mason Crosby (who missed three previous attempts) to squeak out an overtime win last week.  Aaron Rodgers was 27-for-39, finishing with a season-high 344 passing yards, two touchdowns and an interception.  Rodgers has 10 touchdowns to just one interception over his last four games and now sits fifth on the all-time passing touchdowns list.  Davante Adams also had a huge game, picking up 11 catches for a career-high 206 yards and a touchdown.  Adams has had at least 120 receiving yards in three of his last four games.

The injury bug has hit Green Bay hard, so it’s worth monitoring as it gets closer to Sunday.  Offensive guard Elgton Jenkins (ankle), centre Josh Myers (finger), receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling (hamstring), linebacker Za’Darius Smith (back) and cornerback Jaire Alexander (shoulder), all missed last week’s game.  Jenkins and Myers are questionable to play this week, while Valdes-Scantling is ruled out.  Smith and Alexander’s injuries are more serious, although they haven’t been ruled out for the season at this point.

Chicago Bears

Chicago has been careful with quarterback Justin Fields, limiting the rookie to mostly short throws.  In the Bears’ win last week, Fields was 12-for-20, finishing with 111 passing yards and his first career NFL passing touchdown.  More importantly, he had zero turnovers.  Fields longest pass was a short throw to running back Damien Williams, who turned the play into an 18-yard gain.  Williams also had 64 rushing yards and a running score.  Khalil Herbert led the way with a game-high 75 rushing yards on 18 carries.

The Bears’ defence has been their saving grace this season.  Over the last four weeks, Chicago has limited opponents to an average of 16.5 points per game and they lead the NFL with 15 sacks in that time.  They’ve also held four of their five opponents in 2021 to under 100 rushing yards.

Chicago didn’t escape without some injury scares of their own, last week.  Fields hyperextended his knee, but was able to finish the game and he’s expected to go this week.  Right tackle Germain Ifedi also suffered a knee injury in the win.  Ifedi will miss at least three games after being placed on injured reserve.  Linebacker Jeremiah Attaochu was also placed on the IR and it’s feared he’ll miss the season with a torn pectoral muscle.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Packers vs. Bears?

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