NFL Week 14 Predictions: Best Picks Against the Spread

Payton Matthews | Updated Dec 05, 2019

patriots vs chiefs

Now that the American Thanksgiving holiday is in the rearview mirror, the NFL officially begins its stretch run this week.

Here’s a quick look at all the Week 14 matchups with Sports Interaction’s Week 14 NFL odds. Games Sunday unless noted.

Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears, Thursday

This is a matchup of 2018 division winners who have really disappointed this season. Chicago is very unlikely to return to the post-season, while Dallas might repeat as NFC East champion simply as that division is so lousy. At 6-6, the Cowboys are the only team in the East without a losing record. Both are on “usual” rest since they played on Thanksgiving. The Bears rallied to win in Detroit, while Dallas was upset at home by Buffalo. These teams haven’t faced each other since 2016.

Point spread: Cowboys -3

Pick ATS: Chicago

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Carolina lost its fourth in a row Sunday, a 29-21 home upset to a bad Washington team to end any slim chances the Panthers had at a Wild-Card spot. The Falcons lost at home last Thursday to New Orleans – without injured star WR Julio Jones — and are playing out the string too. The Falcons surprised the Panthers 29-3 in Charlotte in Week 11. Carolina QB Kyle Allen threw four interceptions and was sacked five times. Matt Ryan threw for 311 yards and improved to 7-1 in his past eight starts against Carolina.

Point spread: Falcons -2

Pick ATS: Atlanta

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

The two most mobile quarterbacks in the NFL here and both in their second year in Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson and Buffalo’s Josh Allen. Could be a playoff preview as well. The Ravens won their eighth in a row Sunday to take over the top spot in the AFC, while Buffalo won in Dallas last Thursday in an upset and is just a game behind New England in the AFC East. Neither Jackson nor Allen started in Week 1 last year when the Ravens blew out the Bills 47-3 in Baltimore. Both did play eventually with the game out of hand.

Point spread: Ravens -5.5

Pick ATS: Baltimore

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

First meeting of season between state rivals, with the teams closing the year in Cincinnati. There will be no winless teams in the NFL this year as the Bengals upset the visiting Jets 22-6 on Sunday for their first victory. Andy Dalton was re-inserted as Cincinnati’s starting QB and threw for 243 yards and a score. Cleveland’s playoff hopes and three-game winning streak ended in a 20-13 loss in Pittsburgh. Browns QB Baker Mayfield hurt his hand but did return – that’s something to monitor this week.

Point spread: Browns -10.5

Pick ATS: Cincinnati

Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers

Washington might have ruined any shot it had at the top overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft with its second win in a row Sunday, 29-21 at Carolina. The Redskins had 248 yards rushing, with Derrius Guice putting up 129 and two scores on just 10 carries. Green Bay won 31-13 at the Giants in the snow. Aaron Rodgers threw four TD passes, two to Davante Adams.

Point spread: Packers -13.5

Pick ATS: Washington

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

Big rest advantage for the Lions as they played last Thursday afternoon, had to start third-string QB David Blough due to injuries and lost at home to Chicago, while Minnesota has a major challenge Monday night in Seattle. Detroit lost at home to the Vikings 42-30 in Week 7. Kirk Cousins had four touchdown passes and Dalvin Cook rushed for 142 yards and two scores. Matthew Stafford had four TD throws for the Lions, but he hasn’t played in a month due to back problems and is (unofficially) done for the season.

Point spread: Vikings -15.5 (may change depending on Monday)

Pick ATS: Detroit

San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints

Easily the most important game of Week 14 between division leaders with the winner potentially in the driver’s seat for the top seed in the NFC playoffs. New Orleans clinched its third straight NFC South title last Thursday with a 26-18 win in Atlanta. Third-string/gadget QB Taysom Hill rushed for a score, caught a TD pass and blocked a punt. San Francisco lost a possible Super Bowl preview 20-17 in Baltimore.

Point spread: Saints -3

Pick ATS: New Orleans

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

AFC East rivals playing out the string. Miami won for the third time in five games Sunday, a 37-31 home upset of Philadelphia. The Fins had one of the great trick plays you will ever see with the holder on a field-goal try throwing a TD pass to the kicker. New York’s three-game winning streak ended in a 22-6 loss in Cincinnati and the Jets might have lost star safety Jamal Adams to injury. The Dolphins were 0-7 when they beat the visiting Jets 26-18 in Week 9.

Point spread: Jets -6

Pick ATS: New York

Indianapolis Colts at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Indy’s Adam Vinatieri is one of the greatest kickers in NFL history and he’s going to the Hall of Fame someday. However, the 46-year-old has cost the Colts a few games this year, including Sunday’s 31-17 home loss to Tennessee. He was 1-for-4 on field-goal tries, with two blocked and one returned for the go-ahead touchdown with about five minutes left. Vinatieri has missed 14 kicks, eight field goals and six extra points this season. The Bucs won for the third time in four games, 28-11 in Jacksonville. Tampa forced four Jags turnovers.

Point spread: Bucs -3

Pick ATS: Tampa Bay

Denver Broncos at Houston Texans

Denver gave rookie second-round pick Drew Lock his first NFL start Sunday under centre, and he helped lead a 23-20 home win over the Los Angeles Chargers. Lock threw for 134 yards and two scores. It was a throw he didn’t complete in the final seconds that led to the win as the Chargers committed pass interference. Brandon McManus then hit the game-winning 53 yard-field goal as time expired. Houston knocked off the visiting Patriots 28-22 on Sunday night. Deshaun Watson threw three TDs and caught the first TD pass of his career on a trick play.

Point spread: Texans -10

Pick ATS: Houston

Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars

The vastly disappointing Los Angeles Chargers seem to find inventive ways to lose every week and came up with another Sunday in a 23-20 loss in Denver. The game should have gone to OT with Denver taking over possession on its own 28-yard line with just nine seconds left, but L.A.’s Casey Hayward Jr. was called for iffy pass interference on a Broncos deep throw that led to Denver’s winning field goal as time expired. That ended any Chargers playoff chances. Jacksonville lost its fourth in a row Sunday, 28-11 vs. Tampa Bay. A struggling Nick Foles (three turnovers) was benched at halftime for rookie QB Gardner Minshew II and the Jags at least showed some life under him. Most likely he starts the rest of the way.

Point spread: Chargers -2.5

Pick ATS: Jacksonville

Tennessee Titans at Oakland Raiders

The Titans have been a hugely improved team since Coach Mike Vrabel benched Marcus Mariota for Ryan Tannehill at quarterback as they won for the fifth time in six games under Tannehill, 31-17 at Indianapolis on Sunday. Tye Smith returned a blocked field goal 63 yards for the go-ahead touchdown with about five minutes left. Derrick Henry had 26 carries for 149 yards and a touchdown. Oakland was routed a second straight week, 40-9 in Kansas City.

Point spread: Titans -3

Pick ATS: Oakland

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots

The Chiefs easily won at home vs. Oakland on Sunday to take control of the AFC West, while the Patriots’ offensive problems continued in a 28-22 loss in Houston. New England won a terrific regular-season shootout between these two last year at home and then beat the Chiefs on the road in a thrilling AFC title game 37-31 in overtime – Kansas City appeared to have the game won late in regulation after picking off Tom Brady, but the Pats got second life when K.C.’s Dee Ford was called for offsides on the play.

Point spread: Patriots -3

Pick ATS: New England

Pittsburgh Steelers at Arizona Cardinals

Pittsburgh won for the sixth time in seven games Sunday, 20-13 over Cleveland. The Browns led 10-0 late in the second quarter. Rookie QB Devlin “Duck” Hodges got his second start for Pittsburgh and surely earned another one by throwing for 212 yards and a score. The Steelers were without probably their two best offensive players in running back James Conner (shoulder) and receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee). Arizona lost its fifth in a row, 34-7 vs. the Rams. The Cards were held to just 198 yards and allowed 549.

Point spread: Steelers -1.5

Pick ATS: Pittsburgh

Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams

Sunday night game with Seattle on a short week after hosting Minnesota on Monday. Depending on that result and what the 49ers do earlier in Week 14 in New Orleans, the Seahawks could take over sole possession of first in the NFC West with a victory here. Seattle beat the Rams 30-29 in Week 5 on a late Russell Wilson touchdown pass and with Rams kicker Greg Zuerlein missing a 44-yard field goal in the final seconds.

Point spread: Seahawks -2.5 (may change depending on Monday)

Pick ATS: Los Angeles

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles, Monday

Bit of a yawner to cap off Week 14 in all honesty and the first meeting of the year between NFC East rivals. The Giants are one of the conference’s worst teams on an eight-game losing streak, while the Eagles have underachieved hugely at 5-7 and on a three-game skid yet remain in contention in the division race. Philly swept New York last year.

Point spread: Eagles -8.5

Pick ATS: Philadelphia