Houston and the Giants both possess dominant defensive fronts but their soft secondaries should lead to a high scoring game.
Numbers can be misleading While statistics never lie, sometimes one set of numbers fails to tell the whole story. Such is the case with the New York Giants’ secondary in 2010. So far this season the Giants are holding opponents to just 139.8 passing yards per game. Take a deeper look at the numbers and the nature of the opponents and NFL betting fans will see the real source of this frugal pass-defense. The Giants’ front seven have been terrific going after the passer, never more so than last Sunday. New York recorded 10 sacks against the Bears, knocking both Jay Cutler and his back-up quarterback, Todd Collins, out of the game. Throw in the run-oriented approach of New York’s week 3 opponents, Tennessee, and the decrepit offense of week 1 foe Carolina, and the pass-defense numbers look less impressive.
It’s much easier to analyze Houston’s pass defense. In two words, it stinks. Giving up 337.8 yards passing per game is just plain awful. Remarkably Houston is 3-1 because its offense is lighting up opponents to the tune of 415.5 yards a game with a powerful run attack, led by Arian Foster, and the big arm of Matt Schaub. Despite their pass-defense woes, the Texans have a stout front seven capable of stopping the run. The return of Brian Cushing this week should improve this further and his presence may limit New York’s short-passing game.
On balance these are two well-matched teams. New York looks slightly stronger on defense but the Texans have a big edge on offense. With the Giants struggling on run-defense, I like Arian Foster to have a big day. Bet on the Texans as -3.0 favorites with Sports Interaction.
Ravens can contain Orton The Broncos are averaging 339.5 passing yards per game with Kyle Orton under center but don’t expect a shootout when they take on the Ravens this Sunday. I like Baltimore to make this game about time of possession, with a heavy focus on the run-game. If the Ravens can control the clock, then Orton won’t have time to work on Baltimore’s defense.
The mental aspect of the Raven’s win last week at Pittsburgh can’t be discounted. After a sluggish start to the year, Baltimore now has a signature victory to drive them forward. I like the Ravens as -7.0 favorites with Sports Interaction.