NFL Divisional Round Point Spreads: Best Picks Against the Spread

Payton Matthews | Updated Jan 09, 2019

The NFL playoff field is down to eight following Wild-Card Weekend. The top two division winners in each conference were able to rest up and prepare last week while the other eight teams played.

The highest-seeded team in each conference is guaranteed to play the lowest-seeded advancing team from Wild-Card play in this weekend’s Divisional Round. Here’s a quick look at all four matchups with Sports Interaction’s NFL divisional round playoff odds.

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs, Saturday

Since starting 1-5, the AFC sixth-seeded Colts have just one loss. They were 21-7 winners in Houston on Saturday.  Kansas City tied for the AFC’s best record at 12-4 this season but claimed the AFC West title and No. 1 seed because it won a tiebreaker over the divisional rival Chargers. Kansas City hasn’t advanced to the AFC title game since following the 1993 season, and it lost in Buffalo. Kansas City and Indianapolis haven’t played since the 2016 regular season.

The Colts are 4-0 all-time vs. the Chiefs in the playoffs. They last met following the 2013 season when Indy rallied from 28 down to win 45-44. Here’s our complete preview of the Colts vs. Chiefs game.

Point spread: Kansas City -6

Pick ATS: Chiefs

Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams, Saturday

The second-seeded Rams are NFC West champions for the second year in a row, but they had to play on Wild-Card Weekend last year, losing at home to Atlanta. The Rams’ last trip to the NFC title game was following the 2001 season when it was still in St. Louis. The Rams won that game but lost in the Super Bowl.

No. 4 Dallas was a 24-22 home winner over Seattle last Saturday. Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 137 yards and the go-ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter. The Seahawks had won their past nine playoff openers. For our full betting preview of the Cowboys at Rams game, click here.

Point spread: LA Rams -7

Pick ATS: Rams

Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots, Sunday

The AFC fifth-seeded Chargers had to travel across country and play in the early Sunday window in the Wild Card Round, but they didn’t seem to mind in a 23-17 upset win in Baltimore. The L.A. defence was fantastic in limiting the Ravens to just 229 yards and a lot of that came when the Chargers were basically playing prevent with a nice lead.

The Bolts weren’t all that great offensively, with rookie Michael Badgley setting a franchise playoff record by making five field goals. No. 2 seed New England is the AFC East champion for an obscene ninth straight season and has earned a first-round bye in all of those. The Pats have won their past seven in the Divisional Round.  Click here for Sports Interaction’s complete preview of the Chargers at Patriots playoff matchup.

Point spread: New England -4.5

Pick ATS: Chargers

Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints, Saturday

NFC top-seeded New Orleans New Orleans is the South Division champion for a second straight season. It won on Wild-Card Weekend last year at home but lost in the Divisional Round at Minnesota on a miracle. Saints haven’t made NFC title game since winning their only Super Bowl following the 2009 season.

Defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia upset the Bears – whose Week 17 win got Philly into the playoffs – in Chicago on Sunday when Bears kicker Cody Parkey clanked a potential game-winning field goal off both an upright and the crossbar. The Eagles were crushed 48-7 in New Orleans in Week 11 and looked done at that point with a 4-6 record. For a complete preview of the playoff game between the Eagles and the Saints, click here.

Point spread: New Orleans -9

Pick ATS: Eagles