NFL Betting Week 4 Preview: Hot bets and moving odds

Frank Doyle | Updated Sep 26, 2013


Welcome to Week 4, when everything in the NFL settles down and gets back to normal. Well, in theory, anyway. It’s been a tough start to the season for NFL bettors in general, but if it’s any consolation, this week’s board looks a lot more like we’re used to.

All odds current as of noon ET, Sept. 26.

Three of a kind

At press time, we have four pointspreads of exactly three points on the board and six more games that have the favorite set between -2 and -3.5. For lovers of home underdogs, there are eight teams heading into hostile territory as favorites. Washington visits Oakland as a 3-point favorite and Baltimore is a 3-point chalk at Buffalo. The Denver Broncos are the only double-digit favorite at -10.5 at home to Philadelphia.

Across the pond

The winless Pittsburgh Steelers look to snap their slump when they hook up with the Minnesota Vikings at Wembley Stadium in London. No matter what you think of growing the NFL market, these games are an absolute nightmare for any team involved. Pittsburgh is coming off a tough loss to Chicago in Week 3’s Sunday Night Game, but did show a little improvement on offense in the second half. Minnesota doesn’t even know who its starting quarterback will be right now with Christian Ponder nursing a rib injury. If he can’t go, Matt Cassel is next man up. The Steelers opened as 1.5-point favorites and are now sitting at -2.5.

On the move

Anytime you have so many spreads hovering around three points, you’ll see a lot of significant movement. Keep an eye on each of these lines right up until kickoff. Baltimore opened as a 3.5 favorite at the Bills, but Buffalo bettors chimed in to drop that number to Ravens -3. Tampa Bay went from -3 to -2.5 at home to Arizona after word came out QB Josh Freeman is sitting down in favor of Mike Glennon. Jets supporters helped move New York from a 4.5-point underdog to +3.5 and Sunday night’s matchup between the New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons has moved from a pick ‘em to Falcons -2.

Who’s hot, who’s not

Bettors aren’t giving up on the San Francisco 49ers just yet. San Fran has allowed 56 points in consecutive losses and heads to St. Louis as a 3.5-point favorite but we’re still seeing 77 percent of 49ers tickets.

The Browns busted a lot of survivor pools last week by upsetting Minnesota after trading Trent Richardson to Indianapolis, but bettors aren’t impressed. Just 11 percent of Sports Interaction’s handle is coming in on the Browns as they get set to host the Cincinnati Bengals.

When the Indianapolis Colts visit Jacksonville, every sportsbook in the world will be rooting for the Jags. When you combine the buzz of TRich in the Indy offense and the fact that books are just begging for Jacksonville wagers, it’s no surprise that 96 percent of our action is on the Colts.

Meanwhile, bettors aren’t counting on the Buffalo Bills bouncing back after last week’s loss to the Jets with 90 percent of the support coming in on Baltimore.