NFL Betting Week 16 Preview: Hot bets and moving odds

Frank Doyle | Updated Dec 19, 2013

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All odds current as of 11 am ET, Dec. 19.

Betting in Week 16 is a lot like trying to buy the right gift online just in the nick of time to get it under the tree by Christmas morning. You’re up against a tight deadline with the unpredictability of Week 17 looming and this might up as your last chance to put in some wagers without worrying about teams pulling their starters in the second quarter. This week, playoff spots and jobs are on the line. Next week, you just don’t know what you’re going to get.

Odds on the move

The Denver Broncos were overtaken by the Seattle Seahawks as the Super Bowl favorite again this week. The Seahawks are now +247 to win it all while Denver dropped to +287 following last week’s loss at home to San Diego. That doesn’t mean bettors are going away from the Broncos this week though. Denver opened as a 9.5-point favorite at Houston and has moved all the way up to -11. That line might go even higher with 88 percent of our bets coming in on Denver.

One of the trickier games on the board might be Raiders at Chargers. San Diego still has a chance to make the playoffs, but needs to win out and hope the Ravens and Dolphins lose their last two games. Possible, though probably not likely. Still, the Chargers have moved from -7.5 at the open to -9.5, while the total has jumped from 48 to 50.5. The Raiders have lost four straight, covering the number in just one of those defeats.

In the Monday Nighter, the 49ers are looking to lock down their playoff spot with a home game against the floundering Atlanta Falcons. This sounds like it’s going to be the 49ers’ last game at Candlestick Park and they’ll want to send their fans home happy. San Francisco opened around -10.5 and is now sitting at -12.5.

This week’s most popular bets

Sports Interaction bettors have already put the Dallas Cowboys’ epic collapse against the Green Bay Packers behind them. The Cowboys blew a 26-3 lead to Green Bay in a 37-36 loss but now face a Washington team that’s falling apart at the seams. We’re seeing about 80 percent of our bets coming in on the Cowboys.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins are looking to punch their playoff ticket in Buffalo and are up against a Bills team that will be without quarterback EJ Manuel and wide receiver Stevie Johnson. Miami bets currently make up 88 percent of our handle.

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