Lions vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Week 15 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Dec 11, 2018

matt stafford

If Matt Stafford and the Lions offence can deliver a big performance on Sunday, it might be enough to steal a win in Buffalo this weekend.

Detroit
6-10
AT
December 16, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
New Era Field
Buffalo
6-10
Pointspread +2.5 -105
Moneyline +130
Over / Under o +40.5

33%

Betting Action

67%

Pointspread -2.5 -115
Moneyline -150
Over / Under u +40.5

33%

Betting Action

67%

The Detroit Lions and Buffalo Bills each have three weeks remaining in what have been disappointing seasons for both franchises. The good news is that one of these teams should win this week. The bad news is that neither team will probably benefit in the long run from winning this week’s clash. At 4-9, the Bills are right there in the mix for a top-10 pick in next year’s NFL Draft.

Detroit isn’t far behind them at 5-8. While the team that loses this week will likely benefit from it in the long run, it isn’t like that will factor in to the mentality of either team when they take the field this Sunday. So will it be the Lions that end up winning on the road? Or will Buffalo snap a two-game slide to get back in the win column? Here is a closer look at the matchup.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Detroit has struggled on the road in outdoor games in December. The Lions are just 1-8 against the spread in their last nine December games played outdoors, where they don’t have the protection offered to them when they play within the confines of Ford Field. Detroit is 3-6 straight up on those nine games.

The Bills haven’t exactly been great against the spread this season with a 5-8 mark, which is slightly worse than the Lions’ 7-6 record against the spread. Buffalo has covered only twice in its last seven games. The Bills are 2-4 at home this year so it will be interesting to see if they can capitalize on the December cold in this matchup.

Detroit Lions

The fact that the Lions are technically still alive in the NFC Wild Card race might actually work against them in the long run. Detroit could raise the level of urgency this week as they try to chase down the Carolina Panthers for the final NFC Wild Card spot. Right now, the Lions are just one game back of the free-falling Panthers. Detroit’s schedule to close out the year isn’t exactly overwhelming as they play Buffalo, the Minnesota Vikings and the Green Bay Packers. A clean sweep gets them to 8-8, which might be enough to get in as the final Wild Card team.

The Lions will need to play good situational football against the Bills this weekend in order to stay alive. First-year head coach Matt Patricia should have a good idea of what it will take to beat Buffalo based on his time with the New England Patriots, so it will be interesting to see how his team performs. One thing is for sure, Matt Stafford needs to be better than he has been over the past few weeks. Stafford has immense talent but inconsistency and turnovers have been major issues all year.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills have shown signs of life over the past couple of weeks even though they haven’t gotten the results they were looking for. Rookie quarterback Josh Allen has shown flashes of his immense ability, including specifically as an athlete when it comes to running the football. While losing out might help Buffalo’s draft position, there is no doubt that they will want to close the season out on a high note to provide some optimism looking forward to next season.

The Bills defence has struggled to shut down both the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets in back-to-back losses so even with a strong performance from Allen they might not be able to get the win this weekend. That said, it should be a close contest that ultimately goes down to the wire.

Lions vs. Bills Prediction

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