Jets vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction
The Bills saw their recent woes deepen with a stunning 24-22 loss to Denver on Monday Night Football, which extended their current losing streak on the NFL odds to five games. Points have come at a premium for the Jets, who have failed to score a touchdown while losing their past two contests. However, the Jets have risen to the occasion in recent dates with Buffalo. New York has taken two of three from the Bills while paying out as betting underdogs in each of those matchups.
The Bills’ recent struggles have not dampened them on the NFL odds, where they have emerged as 7-point favourites. The Jets trail as +240 underdogs on the NFL moneyline, and the total is listed at 39.5.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Bills entered the season perched among the favourites on the Super Bowl odds, but as Thanksgiving approaches, this team must now be approached with caution by sports bettors. The previously vaunted Bills offence has sputtered under the weight of injuries and a challenging schedule, scoring just 22.2 points per game while posting against the spread losses in each of their past six contests. Usually, a date with an offensively challenged opponent like New York would be welcome. However, the Bills have mustered just 17.7 points per game in their past three dates with the Jets, capped by a demoralizing 22-16 loss in New York in Week 1. Overall, Buffalo has escaped with the win in eight of their past nine meetings with the jets while favoured by at least seven points, but have gone a middling 5-4 ATS over that stretch.
New York Jets
Calls for the jets to make a change under center have grown louder in the wake of Sunday night’s loss in Las Vegas. For the fourth time in five games, Zach Wilson failed to connect on a scoring pass while connecting on just 59.0% of attempts for 263 yards and one pick. However, this time around, the blame was easy to spread around. New York hurt itself by taking penalties on each of its first three scoring drives, and ended the contest with 83 yards in penalties. Things haven’t gone much better for the New York ground game, which has produced just three scoring runs in 12 games since last December. Breece Hall has seen his numbers dip since topping 125 rushing yards twice in his first five outings, averaging just 33.5 rushing yards over his past four games, and sports -115 odds of topping 57.5 rushing yards on Sunday.
Buffalo Bills
Fresh off one of the worst performances of his NFL career, the pressure is on Josh Allen to quickly regain his familiar form, before the Bills’ season slips away. The Buffalo pivot connected on a season-worst 57.5% of pass attempts for 177 yards, one touchdown pass, and one scoring run in Monday’s loss to the Broncos. However, he also tossed two interceptions, and has now thrown at least one pick in six straight outings, and an NFL-worst 11 picks on the season. Allen’s struggles raise concerns that he has not completely recovered from the shoulder injury that hampered him earlier in the schedule. However, he has not been helped by his top receivers’ recent inability to pull in catches. Gabe Davis led the Bills on Monday with 56 receiving yards, but has caught just 12 of 25 targets over the past five games. Stefon Diggs has performed moderately better, averaging 62 yards and making two TD catches over the past four games. However, he has failed to make a scoring catch at home since his three-TD performance against Miami in Week 4.
NYJ
BUF