Jaguars vs. Cardinals Point Spread: NFL Week 12 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Dec 06, 2017

jaguars defence

The Jacksonville Jaguars are at the top of the AFC South thanks to a nasty defence and a strong running game.

AT
November 26, 2017, 4:25 PM ET
State Farm Stadium
Arizona
8-8
Pointspread -6 -125
Moneyline -275
Over / Under o +37

76%

Betting Action

24%

Pointspread +6 +105
Moneyline +225
Over / Under u +37

76%

Betting Action

24%

The Jacksonville Jaguars have won four in a row to climb in to sole possession of first place in the AFC South. They’ve had a relatively easy schedule to date and it’s going to be easy the rest of the way – for the most part – so they can’t afford to slip up. After turning aside the winless Cleveland Browns last week, they get another layup with the struggling and quarterback-less Arizona Cardinals on tap for this weekend.

Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Jacksonville is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 against the spread so far this season. Meanwhile, the Cardinals haven’t been nearly as reliable as a betting option at 2-7-1 against the spread compared to 4-6 straight up.

The Jags have feasted on teams with a losing record, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 ATS. The Cardinals have yet to beat a team with a winning record and are 0-2-1 ATS in those spots.

Jacksonville Jaguars

It should be no surprise that Jacksonville has adopted the “Sacksonville” moniker this season. The Jaguars lead the NFL with 40 sacks through 10 games, which is six more than the Pittsburgh Steelers for the most in the league this season. Calais Campbell has led the way with 11.5 sacks, while Yannick Ngakoue, Dante Fowler Jr. and Malik Jackson have all registered five sacks or more. The defense will need to continue to perform at a high level if Jacksonville is going to be a true contender in the AFC this season. The Jaguars lead the NFL with an average of 14.1 points allowed per game this season. The big plays on defense have directly contributed to the success this team has had on offense with turnovers and good field position both key to a top 10 scoring attack.

Rookie running back Leonard Fournette has averaged 92.5 yards per game with six touchdowns this season. Jacksonville will continue to try to pound the rock on the ground and keep the ball out of quarterback Blake Bortles‘ hands as much as possible. Bortles hasn’t been awful, but the Jaguars are at their best when they run the football and take the pressure off of their young passer.

Arizona Cardinals

Injuries have taken their toll on Arizona this season. None of them has had a bigger impact than the loss of quarterback Carson Palmer. The Cardinals turned to Blaine Gabbert in last week’s 31-21 loss to the Houston Texans. Gabbert completed 22-of-34 pass attempts for 257 yards and three touchdowns but also had two interceptions and was sacked twice. Arizona’s lack of a vertical passing attack without Palmer has allowed opposing defenses to load the box in an effort to slow down running back Adrian Peterson and it has worked. Peterson was held to 26 rushing yards on 14 carries last week versus Houston.

Unless the Cardinals are able to establish an efficient passing game with Gabbert, it isn’t going to get any easier for Peterson and the run game. However, that isn’t likely to happen this week against a tough Jacksonville defense. Arizona has posted a .500 record through its first four home games this season, but it will be difficult for the Cardinals to avoid falling below that mark when they host the streaking Jaguars this weekend.

Jaguars vs. Cardinals Prediction

SportsInteraction