Giants vs. Patriots Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 1 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 08, 2022

Week 1 of the NFL preseason kicks off Thursday night in New England with the Patriots hosting the New York Giants.

August 11, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
Gillette Stadium

The first NFL preseason matchup this week features the New York Giants visiting the New England Patriots on Thursday night. The Giants are 2-point favourites to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 34.5 points.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Giants would certainly not be favoured at New England were this a regular-season game. These teams don’t meet in the 2022 regular season. They do meet pretty much every preseason, and last year the Patriots were 22-20 road winners. Patriots quarterback Mac Jones, then a rookie, was 10-for-14 for 156 yards with a touchdown. Giants starting QB Daniel Jones was 17-for-22 for 135 yards, a TD and a pick.

Bill Belichick is 49-36 straight up in preseason games with the Patriots, and this is the head coaching debut of the Giants’ Brian Daboll, the former Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator.

The underdog is 5-1 against the spread in the past six meetings.

New York Giants

Because the Giants have an entirely new system under first-year head coach Daboll, he plans for every healthy starter to play but didn’t say how much. “Everybody’s in new offensive and defensive systems here,” Daboll said. “I think that’s important to play football: to have live reps. How many reps that’s going to be, I can’t tell you right now. I think it’s going to be less for some and more for others, and each game will have a plan going into it.”

Top running back Saquon Barkley has played one preseason game in his four-year career and Jones played one game last season. This is a make-or-break season for Jones as the Giants didn’t pick up his fifth-year rookie option. Veteran Tyrod Taylor is his backup and Davis Webb third string. It should be the NFL debut of rookie pass-rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux, the No. 5 overall pick out of Oregon who is among the favourites for Defensive Rookie of the Year. The Giants lost another rookie, fifth-round offensive lineman Marcus McKethan, to a season-ending injury last week. New York is 0-5 ATS in its past five on the road.

New England Patriots

The Patriots likely will play their starters at least briefly, especially on offence because Belichick lost his right-hand man, long-time coordinator Josh McDaniels, to the Raiders this offseason. Former Lions head coach Matt Patricia is expected to serve as the primary offensive play-caller even though he used to be New England’s defensive coordinator. Perhaps then, we can count on one series for second-year QB Jones. Veteran Brian Hoyer is his backup and rookie fourth-round pick Bailey Zappe currently the No. 3 – he should play the most.

In last season’s preseason opener against Washington, Patriots starters played about two series’. Belichick hired former Giants head coach Joe Judge as an offensive assistant in February. The Giants fired Judge after last season with a 10-23 record. New England’s top player loss during the offseason was Pro Bowl cornerback JC Jackson signing with the Chargers. The Pats 4-1 ATS in their past five at home.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Giants vs. Patriots?