The Colts have won back-to-back games and seven of their last eight overall to climb in to the AFC Wild Card hunt. Now they need to take advantage of their schedule with a by taking care of the five-win Giants on Sunday.
While the Giants aren’t in contention at 5-9, the fact that they have won four of their last six games is enough to make Colts fans realize they can’t just be overlooked.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Giants have rallied to become one of the better teams to bet on recent weeks while raising their against the spread record to 7-6-1 on the season. New York is 4-1-1 against the spread in its last six games. The Giants are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games when listed as underdogs by a touchdown or more and they’re also 6-1 ATS on the road.
Indianapolis is also 7-6-1 against the spread this season. More importantly, the Colts have never lost to Manning, producing a 3-0 record straight up against him. Indianapolis is 5-2-1 against the spread over its last eight games. They are 27-5 SU in their last 32 as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points but are just 15-17 ATS in those contests.
New York Giants
Manning’s struggles were on display once again in last week’s 17-0 shutout loss to the Tennessee Titans. With Odell Beckham Jr. sidelined and rain pouring heavily, the New York offence couldn’t get anything going at home. Manning went 21-44 for 229 yards and was sacked three times. Rookie running back Saquon Barkley was held to 31 yards on 14 carries.
The challenge is that the Colts have an underrated defence. The Colts have given up just 93.3 rushing yards per game over their last three. Can the Giants win on Manning’s shoulder? Getting Beckham Jr. back – who is questionable for this game – would improve the Giants chances significantly.
Indianapolis is absolutely rolling right now thanks to excellent play on both sides of the football. The Colts defence is coming off a shutout performance in last week’s 23-0 win over the Dallas Cowboys. Andrew Luck went 16-27 for 192 yards in the win. Luck is up to 3,951 yards with 34 touchdowns compared to 13 interceptions this season. There’s no reason to think he’ll be harassed much in this contest as the Giants rank 30th in sacks with just 25 while the Colts rank second in fewest sacks allowed (16).
While the Colts offence gets most of the credit, their defence has quietly performed very well. They rank in the top 10 of overall defence, rushing yards per game and points allowed per game. And this unit seems to be getting better as the year progresses as they’re giving up 12.2 points per game over their last five.