Giants vs. Buccaneers Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Nov 16, 2021

It could be the Monday night mismatch of the season to conclude Week 11 as the struggling Giants visit the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers.

AT
November 22, 2021, 8:15 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
13-4
Pointspread +11 -113
Moneyline +405
Over / Under o +50.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

Pointspread -11 -107
Moneyline -532
Over / Under u +50.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

The Bucs are 11-point favourites on the NFL odds with a total of 50.5 points.

Monday Night Football Point Spread and Betting Analysis

New York is tied for last in the NFC East at 3-6 and surely will finish with a losing record yet again, and probably fire both its general manager and head coach. Tampa Bay (6-3) leads the NFC South by a game over New Orleans and should win the division but most likely not earn the NFC’s top seed. Then again, that didn’t matter last year as Tom Brady and the Bucs won three road games on their way to the Super Bowl title.

Rather oddly as they aren’t divisional foes, this will be the fifth straight season the Giants and Bucs will play. They have split the past four straight up. The Bucs were big favourites on a Monday night in New Jersey in Week 8 last year and eked out a 25-23 victory. New York QB Daniel Jones hit Golden Tate on a 19-yard TD pass with 28 seconds left, but the two-point try to tie failed. Jones had two TD passes but also two picks. Brady threw for 279 and two TDs, going to Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski.

The Giants are 4-0-1 against the spread in the past five meetings.

New York Giants

New York comes out of its bye week, which should mean several injured players will return as the team has really been hit hard at running back and receiver.  Top running back Saquon Barkley, the former NFL Offensive Player of the Year, is looking good for a return. He hasn’t played since Week 5 with an ankle issue. It remains to be seen on WR Sterling Shepard and left tackle Andrew Thomas. The first official injury report of the week won’t be released until Thursday. The Giants are playing better of late, winning two of three – both were at home. New York has one road win and needed a huge fourth-quarter rally (and overtime) in New Orleans to get that. The Giants are 20-6 ATS in their past 26 as road dogs.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay came out of its bye on Sunday and looked unprepared in a 29-19 upset loss at Washington, which had been solo last in the NFC East. Tom Brady had two touchdown passes but two interceptions. He badly misses injured tight end Rob Gronkowski and receiver Antonio Brown. That neither could return from injury out of the bye doesn’t speak well to their chances this week. To make matters worse, stellar nose tackle Vita Vea, perhaps the biggest reason why Tampa Bay is so good against the run (79.8 ypg), was hurt vs. Washington and probably will miss some time.

One bright spot from Sunday was receiver Mike Evans tying franchise icon Mike Alstott for the most TDs scored in team history with No. 71 career. Tampa has dropped consecutive games for the first time since Weeks 11 and 12 of last season. The Bucs are 2-5 ATS in their past seven. They should win this but that spread is way too big.

NFL MNF: Who Will Win Giants vs. Buccaneers?

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