Washington vs. Patriots Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 1 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 12, 2021

New England Patriots fans should get their first look at rookie first-round quarterback Mac Jones on Thursday night as the Pats open the pre-season by hosting the Washington Football Team.

August 12, 2021, 7:30 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
Pointspread +2 -101
Moneyline +119
Over / Under o +37
Pointspread -2 -119
Moneyline -143
Over / Under u +37

Washington opens the pre-season against the New England Patriots and is a 2-point favourite to win on the NFL pre-season odds. The total is 34.5 points.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Both these clubs finished 7-9 in the 2020 regular season. It was considered a huge success for Washington, which won the NFC East Division to make the playoffs for the first time since 2015. It was a massive disappointment for the Patriots, who missed the playoffs for the first time since 2008 and finished with a losing record for the first time since 2000 – Tom Brady’s rookie season when he never saw the field.

New England has won seven of the past 10 pre-season meetings vs. Washington (6-4 against the spread), with the most recent one in 2018. The most recent regular season matchup was in 2019 in Maryland and Brady led the Patriots to a 33-7 blowout. Of course, Brady is now with the Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Bucs.

Bill Belichick is 46-36 in the pre-season with the Patriots and this is Ron Rivera’s first pre-season with Washington as there wasn’t one in 2020. Rivera’s teams were 20-16 in exhibition games when he was with Carolina.

Washington Football Team

WFT coach Ron Rivera is a bit of an old-school guy and has made it clear that his starters will play in the pre-season opener but didn’t say how much. Veteran journeyman Ryan Fitzpatrick is the new starting QB in Washington but almost surely is just a one-year stopgap. The backup job is up for grabs between Kyle Allen, who began last year as the starter, and Taylor Heinicke, who started the playoff loss to the Bucs. Safety Landon Collins says he plans to play; Collins tore his Achilles in late October 2020 and was given a 9-12 month timetable for his recovery. Washington did have as many as seven guys on the COVID list as recently as a week ago, including receiver and big free agent addition Curtis Samuel, who won’t play here. Rivera has been vocal about his guys getting vaccinated because he’s at extra risk as a cancer survivor.

New England Patriots

Coach Bill Belichick has said numerous times that veteran Cam Newton opened camp as the team’s No. 1 quarterback but also that rookie No. 15 overall pick Mac Jones out of Alabama could still win the job. That will be what all Patriots fans will be watching here. According to most reports, Jones has been closing the gap in camp. Belichick hasn’t said how long any starters might play here, but one big free agent addition, former Chargers tight end Hunter Henry, will not play due to a shoulder injury. One of the stars of camp apparently has been wideout N’Keal Harry, a Toronto native. Entering camp, the team was trying to trade the former first-round disappointment.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Football Team vs. Patriots?