Falcons vs. Giants Point Spread: NFL Week 3 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Sep 22, 2021

After a crushing loss last week, Daniel Jones and the Giants will look to rebound against the struggling Atlanta Falcons on Sunday.

Atlanta
2-3
AT
September 26, 2021, 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
Pointspread +2.5 -105
Moneyline +120
Over / Under o +47

50%

Betting Action

50%

Pointspread -2.5 -115
Moneyline -144
Over / Under u +47

50%

Betting Action

50%

Someone’s losing streak is bound to end on Sunday when the winless Falcons and Giants meet in New York.  Atlanta’s season is quickly spiralling out of control and they’re coming into Week 3 off a 48-25 blowout loss to the Buccaneers.  The Giants, on the other hand, were a costly late penalty away from a huge divisional road win in Week 2, dropping a 30-29 decision against Washington.  Can New York get in the win column in Week 3, or will something finally go right for Atlanta?

The Giants are 3-point favourites to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 48.0.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

It’s rare these teams meet, as they haven’t squared off in the regular season since a 23-20 Atlanta win in 2018.  Sports Interaction bettors clearly think Atlanta can at least keep this game close, as 64 per cent of action is taking the Falcons at +3.  It’s looking like roughly the same split favouring the Over, although it’s worth noting five straight games between these teams have gone Under.

Dating back to last season, Atlanta has lost seven straight games overall and five straight on the road.  They didn’t cover in either of their losses this year and they weren’t a great cover option in 2020, going 7-9 against the spread.  The Falcons were 4-3 ATS when playing as at least 5.5-point dogs in 2020.  The total has gone Under in 10 of Atlanta’s last 15 games, including once this season.

New York has struggled to start their season strong over the last couple of years, dropping five straight September games.  They’re 1-1 ATS this year, after going 9-7 ATS in 2020.  The Giants hit the Over last week, but keep in mind they failed to go above the number in 13 of 16 games last year.

Atlanta Falcons

If the first two weeks of the season are any indication, it’s going to be a long year for the Falcons.  Former Titans offensive coordinator, Arthur Smith, was brought in as the head coach this year, in large part to resurrect quarterback Matt Ryan‘s career, but it hasn’t been a great start.  Ryan was 35-for-46 throwing last week, finishing with 300 passing yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions, including two pick-sixes in the final eight minutes.  Let’s not even get into the history of Ryan blowing games in the fourth-quarter against Tom Brady.

The only injury question mark for Sunday is cornerback A.J. Terrell, who left last week’s game early with a concussion.  If Terrell doesn’t play, look for T.J. Green to take on a larger role.  Wide receiver Russell Gage also left last week’s game early as he dealt with a minor ankle injury, but he was able to return and should be good to go this week.

New York Giants

It looked like the Giants had the win in the bag last week when Washington missed a late-game field goal attempt, but an offside call against Dexter Lawrence gave Washington another chance and they didn’t miss the second time around.  It was a tough break for second-year quarterback Daniel Jones, who looks like he’s becoming a legit NFL starter.  Jones finished the game with 249 passing yards and a touchdown.  He was sacked four times for 21 yards, but he did manage to add 95 rushing yards and another touchdown on the ground.

Offensive lineman Nick Gates is out for the season after fracturing his lower left leg last week.  Gates had started the previous 17 games at centre, but was starting at left tackle for the first time in his career in the absence of Shane Lemieux.  Lemieux was placed on injured reserve last week after suffering a knee injury.  It’s not certain how long Lemieux will be out, but head coach Joe Judge is hopeful he’ll be back at some point this season, though obviously not this week.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Falcons vs. Giants?

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