Dolphins vs. Raiders Point Spread: NFL Week 1 Odds, Picks and Prediction
The Dolphins finished 7-10 last season and parted ways with both head coach Mike McDaniel and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa in the offseason. Jeff Hafley is now leading the team, while Malik Willis is slated as Miami’s QB1 entering the new season.
The Raiders are also entering a new era with a new head coach. Las Vegas went just 3-14 last season and now turn to head coach Klint Kubiak following Pete Carroll’s lone season with the franchise.
Las Vegas drafted Fernando Mendoza No. 1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, but will give 14-year veteran Kirk Cousins the starting nod in the season opener.
The Dolphins won the most recent meeting 34-19 in Miami back on November 17, 2024.
Dolphins vs. Raiders Kickoff Time, Weather, TV, Streaming Info
Kickoff is slated for 4:25 PM ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV.
Allegiant Stadium is a fully enclosed stadium, so the scorching Las Vegas heat shouldn’t be a factor in this contest.
NFL Week 1 Betting Odds, Point Spread, Trends
The Raiders enter this contest as 3-point favourites with odds of -166 on the money line. The Dolphins sit at +140, while the total is listed at 40.5, which is among the lowest numbers on the NFL Week 1 odds board.
The low total makes sense, as these were two of the lowest-scoring teams in the NFL last season. Specifically, the Raiders ranked dead last in the NFL by scoring just 14.2 points per game, while the Dolphins weren’t much better at 25th with 20.4 points per contest.
Both teams are also entering new eras with new head coaches and new quarterbacks. With so many unknowns, seeing a high-scoring affair would be a bit surprising.
NFL Player Odds and Props
Miami Dolphins
De’Von Achane Over 15.5 rush attempts (+101)
De’Von Achane should see plenty of rushing opportunities this season. In an offense that is expected to struggle all season long, he is Miami’s most electric offensive weapon. Even Malik Willis’ mobility shouldn’t take too much off Achane’s plate. He should get fed carries early and often.
Las Vegas Raiders
Michael Mayer Over 39.5 receiving yards (-117)
Brock Bowers has officially been ruled out for this contest after undergoing a meniscus trim procedure this week. That opens the door for Michael Mayer, who should see a steady number of targets.
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins are expected to be among the worst teams in the NFL this season. Their win total sits at 3.5, which is the lowest in the league. Jeff Hafley is entering his first season as an NFL head coach and it will be interesting to see how he navigates this campaign. The offense has a ton of new pieces and the defense is coming off a season in which it ranked 22nd in yards per game allowed (348.8), and 24th in points per game allowed (24.9).
Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders also underwent significant changes over the offseason, bringing in new head coach Klint Kubiak. Fernando Mendoza is the QB of the future, but Kirk Cousins is Las Vegas’ QB1 to start the season. The Raiders had one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL last season, but the signing of C Tyler Linderbaum should lead to a better campaign. Las Vegas spent more than $260 million on the first day of free agency, particularly focusing on defense. They brought in LB Quay Walker, LB Nakobe Dean, DE Kwity Paye, CB Eric Stokes and DE Malcolm Koonce, while also trading for CB Taron Johnson.
