Dolphins vs. Jets Point Spread: NFL Week 12 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Nov 24, 2020

adam shaheen, dolphins, 2020

The Dolphins are 5-0-1 against the spread in their last six meetings against the Jets.

Miami
10-6
AT
November 29, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
N.Y. Jets
2-14
Pointspread -7.5 -105
Moneyline -360
Over / Under o +46

77%

Betting Action

23%

Pointspread +7.5 -115
Moneyline +294
Over / Under u +46

77%

Betting Action

23%

The Miami Dolphins weren’t quite able to get the victory in their last game, falling to the Denver Broncos 20-13 to drop them to 6-4. There’s a bit of in-house drama as rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa was benched and veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick nearly led the team to a comeback.

The Dolphins now take the trip to face off against the New York Jets, who lost their last game at the hands of the Los Angeles Chargers 34-28 and remain winless at 0-10. It will be interesting to see how the Dolphins respond – especially Tagovailoa – after a shaky effort last week.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The under is 5-2 in the Dolphins last seven games when coming in as the favorite. Miami is also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall as well as 6-1 ATS when the team gets six or less days of rest. The Dolphins are also 6-15 straight up in their last 21 games when playing on the road.

Meanwhile, the under is 10-6 in the Jets last 16 games when playing against division opponents and 5-2 in their last seven games when playing against a team with a winning record during the second half of the season. New York is also 11-31 straight up in their past 42 games and 4-17 straight up after losing two or more consecutive games.

Miami Dolphins

Miami fought hard throughout their loss to the Broncos but got little to nothing on the offensive side of the football. Rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa was benched in the fourth quarter after only throwing for 83 yards and one touchdown. Their rushing attack never got off the ground as well, taking 17 carries and totaling 56 yards with no touchdowns. However, their defense played up to their expectations yet again and were able to limit Drew Lock and the Denver offense throughout most of the game.

They get a far easier matchup this week when they play the winless Jets. Miami will need to figure out what to do in order to get their offense rolling again, whether it’s through the air or on the ground. Their defense has proven that they can keep them in it; their offense has to do more. The good news is they’re facing the 28th ranked defense of the Jets. Simple handoffs and passes is all that’s needed this week with no mistakes.

New York Jets

The New York defense was simply nonexistent in their loss to the Chargers. They allowed rookie quarterback Justin Herbert to throw for 366 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. Teams have consistently made light work of the Jets secondary and that is something that has to be fixed if they want to start winning football games. However, their rush defense held up nicely as they limited them to 29 yards on 26 carries.

As for their offense, they didn’t look bad at all. Veteran quarterback Joe Flacco threw for 205 yards and two touchdowns with one interception while ageless wonder Frank Gore took 15 carries for 61 yards and a touchdown. They came to life after halftime, scoring 22 second half points and putting themselves in position to tie the game at the end. It’s the second straight week that this offense has played well for a half.

Interestingly enough, while Flacco has made some bad mistakes, it does seem as if he is more capable of pushing the ball deep than Sam Darnold. If they can avoid the turnovers, they might have a shot here.

Who Will Win Dolphins vs. Jets?

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