Cowboys vs. Chiefs Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Nov 17, 2021

The Chiefs appear to have righted the ship – but a true test of whether they’re the real deal will come Sunday as they welcome the NFC East-Leading Cowboys to Arrowhead Stadium.

Dallas
12-5
AT
November 21, 2021, 4:25 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium
Pointspread +2.5 +100
Moneyline +115
Over / Under o +56

55%

Betting Action

45%

Pointspread -2.5 -120
Moneyline -138
Over / Under u +56

55%

Betting Action

45%

The Chiefs rolled past the Las Vegas Raiders in a Sunday Night Football rout, but are only minuscule favourites Sunday against a Cowboys team that is running away with the division crown thanks to the second-best point differential in the NFC.

NFL Week 11 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

We have a magic number alert in Kansas City, with the Chiefs favoured by just under a field goal. And while the Chiefs remain a popular option among casual bettors, their well-documented ATS struggles have this one as a near-split, with 51 percent taking the visitors and the points. The Cowboys have been the top cover option in the NFL this season at 8-1 ATS, including a peerless 4-0 ATS mark away from Big D. The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS for the year.

Oddsmakers are expecting a defence-optional contest in Missouri this weekend, placing the total at a sky-high 56. And we all know how much the public loves the Over, so it shouldn’t be that big a surprise to see 90 percent of Sports Interaction participants rolling with the O56 at -111. Yet, despite both teams looking dominant offensively for most of the season, Dallas is a modest 5-4 O/U for the season while the Chiefs are at 5-5.

Dallas Cowboys

Those of you with Mike McCarthy Coach of the Year tickets have to be pleased with how the first half of the Cowboys’ season has gone. McCarthy and the Cowboys have built a 3 ½-game lead atop the NFC East and are excelling at both ends of the field, ranked atop the league in scoring (31.6 ppg) and 10th in scoring defence (21.7). And if you like the Cowboys this week, it might be a good time to invest in McCarthy’s current COY odds, which sit at +800.

Kansas City Chiefs

The +800 is a bit of a magic number for this preview. In addition to being McCarthy’s odds at winning COY, they’re also the current Sports Interaction odds on the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl – and there’s value here if you truly believe that the two-time defending AFC champions have truly turned things around. Bettors might also consider Patrick Mahomes (+330) to throw the most TD passes; he enters Sunday just two back of league leader Tom Brady.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Cowboys vs. Chiefs?

SportsInteraction