Colts vs. Texans Point Spread: NFL Week 13 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Nov 30, 2020

Deshaun Watson

After a poor start to the season, the Texans enter this game with the Colts winners of three of their last four games.

AT
December 06, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
NRG Stadium
Houston
4-12
Pointspread -3 -127
Moneyline -190
Over / Under o +50.5

74%

Betting Action

26%

Pointspread +3 +105
Moneyline +158
Over / Under u +50.5

74%

Betting Action

26%

The AFC rival Colts and Texans have yet to play this season but will do so twice over the span of 14 days starting Sunday in Houston. Indianapolis opened as a 2.5-point favourite on the NFL odds with a total of 53.5.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

As the Colts push for the AFC South title, this starts a stretch of three of their final five on the road. On the bright side, Indy’s season finale at home vs. Jacksonville seems like a sure victory if the Colts need it and aren’t locked into their playoff seeding.

The Texans, meanwhile, can’t just tank the rest of the way because it serves no purpose: They owe their 2021 first- and second-round draft picks to the Miami Dolphins. Houston had won the AFC South two straight seasons and four of the past five but that run is over. It remains to be seen if interim head coach Romeo Crennel gets the full-time job for next year; probably not, but there’s an off chance the Texans give it to him simply for that one year as they remake the front office and in the middle of a coronavirus pandemic.

These teams split two close games last year, each winning at home. The one in Houston was 20-17 in favor of the Texans in Week 12 on a Thursday night. Deshaun Watson threw two touchdown passes, both to DeAndre Hopkins. While Watson has been very good this year, Houston’s season basically ended in the winter when former coach/GM Bill O’Brien traded the All-Pro Hopkins for pennies on the dollar to Arizona. Jacoby Brissett started both those games under centre for the Colts in 2019 but likely won’t see the field in this one barring a gimmick play (Indy has been using him at times near the goal line to run the ball), Philip Rivers getting injured or in mop-up duty.

The road team has covered nine of the previous 13 meetings. The total has gone under in six of the previous eight.

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts had a chance to take complete control of the AFC South race on Sunday by sweeping the season series with Tennessee, but Indy played without Pro Bowl defensive lineman DeForest Buckner (COVID-19 list) and it showed big time as the team was trounced 45-26 at home by the Titans. With a healthy Buckner, the Colts have one of the NFL’s top run defences. Without him, they allowed 229 yards rushing. It won’t be known until later this week if Buckner can return. Players who test positive for the coronavirus can’t return to the team until at least 10 days after the start of symptoms.

Top running back and rookie Jonathan Taylor also missed the game on the COVID-19 list. A couple of other guys are on that list too. Indy also will have to add a punter this week because Rigoberto Sanchez will miss some time after having a cancerous tumor removed on Tuesday. Indy is 1-4 ATS in its past five vs. the AFC South.

Houston Texans

Houston won for the third time in four games Thursday, 41-25 in Detroit. Watson was terrific, throwing for 318 yards and four scores on just 25 attempts. He hasn’t thrown an interception in his past six games. Will Fuller caught six passes for 171 yards and two scores. Speaking of Fuller, the Texans announced Monday afternoon that Fuller has been suspended for six games for a PED violation.

Three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year JJ Watt returned a Matthew Stafford interception 19 yards for a touchdown. It was Watt’s first TD since 2014 when he scored on offence in a gimmick play. Houston forced turnovers on three straight drives vs. the Lions; the Texans entered with just five takeaways all season. They are 2-7 ATS in their past nine as underdogs.

Who Will Win Colts vs. Texans?

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