Colts vs. Raiders Point Spread: NFL Week 8 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Oct 22, 2018

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The Colts and Raiders are last in their respective divisions as they face off in northern California on Sunday in Week 8. Oakland has a small advantage coming off its bye.

AT
October 28, 2018, 4:05 PM ET
RingCentral Coliseum
Oakland
4-12
Pointspread -3.5 -115
Moneyline -205
Over / Under o +51.5

71%

Betting Action

29%

Pointspread +3.5 -105
Moneyline +170
Over / Under u +51.5

71%

Betting Action

29%

Sometimes, records can be misleading. Yes, the Indianapolis Colts are last in the AFC South at 2-5 but they have a point differential of plus-4, meaning they’ve been a tad unlucky and did have a chance to win three of those five losses. Their two victories have each been by at least 12 points.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

There’s really not much sugarcoating we can give the AFC West cellar-dwelling Raiders. They are 1-5 as their point differential is minus-66, which is the second-worst in the NFL behind the Buffalo Bills. Coach Jon Gruden’s return to an NFL sideline after a decade away has been an unqualified mess. That’s what happens when you trade your best player – All-Pro linebacker Khalil Mack – on the eve of the season. Gruden won’t admit this publicly, but most believe he’s tanking this year and next so the Raiders can be good in 2020 when they move to Las Vegas.

The Raiders are 9-7 all-time against the Colts franchise, which includes the Raiders’ days in Los Angeles and the Colts’ in Baltimore. The teams last played on Christmas Eve 2016 and Oakland won 33-25 at home to improve to 12-3 – yep, the Raiders were good then. But that really was the turning point for this franchise because star quarterback Derek Carr broke his leg. Oakland lost the next week without Carr in Denver with a chance to win the AFC West and then the week after that in the wild-card round in Houston. Not much has gone right since that Carr injury.

Indianapolis is 2-6 ATS in the past eight meetings.

Indianapolis Colts

Even with their record, the Colts aren’t out of the AFC South race with first-place Houston only 4-3. Indy trashed the visiting Bills on Sunday, 37-5. Andrew Luck threw four touchdown passes. Marlon Mack, who has been hurt much of this season, had 126 yards rushing and a TD while catching two balls for 33 yards and another score. Indy rushed for 220 yards, its most in the Luck era (he was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2012 draft).

Luck’s top receiver, T.Y. Hilton, returned after missing two games due to injury and had two TD catches. Colts kicker Adam Vinatieri missed two extra points for the first time in his career but is now just five points shy of passing Morten Andersen to become the league’s all-time scoring leader. Indy is on its bye after this.

Oakland Raiders

The Raiders come off their bye week amid reports that Gruden is willing to trade just about everyone on his roster as he clearly has taken control of personnel from GM Reggie McKenzie. The NFL trade deadline is next Tuesday. Don’t be shocked if Amari Cooper, the team’s No. 4 overall pick in 2015, is a goner (Dallas is known to be interested). Oakland entered the break off a 27-3 loss to Seattle in London.

Top running back Marshawn Lynch left with a groin injury that will cost him at least a month and perhaps much longer. Doug Martin should take over as the primary ball carrier and Jalen Richard also should see an uptick in carries, although he’s more of a receiver out of the backfield. Oakland has covered five of its past six after a bye week.

Colts vs. Raiders Prediction

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