Colts vs. Packers Point Spread: NFL Week 2 Odds, Prediction
Green Bay and Indy both got off to disappointing starts to the season, with the Packers losing 34-29 against the Eagles in Brazil and the Colts falling 29-27 at home against Houston. It was an even tougher loss for Green Bay as starting quarterback Jordan Love could miss multiple weeks with a knee injury.
Because of the Love injury, Indianapolis opened as a 3.5-point favourite on the NFL odds, with the total set at 41.0.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Keep an eye on the shifting line for this game. Roughly 65 per cent of early bettors have taken Green Bay on the spread, which has moved the number to 2.5 as of Thursday afternoon. If that trend continues, this game could essentially be a pick’em by Sunday afternoon.
There’s not much history between these teams, although Indy has won the last three head-to-heads while the Over has hit in the last four.
The Colts have rewarded bettors with an 8-0 record against the spread in their last eight games against NFC North opponents. They’re also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Green Bay. Taking Indy straight up might not be the play, however, as they are just 2-8 SU in their last 10 against NFC teams.
For a team known for cold weather games, the Packers have historically fared well in the warmest month of the season, going 14-5 ATS in their last 19 September games, including 6-0 ATS in their last six Week 2 games. All the trends point to a high scoring game. The Over has hit in seven straight games between these teams, the Over has hit in seven of Green Bay’s last 10 games against the AFC South and the Over has hit in eight of Indianapolis’ last 12 road games.
Indianapolis Colts
There has to be some concern that Anthony Richardson isn’t the answer for Indianapolis after last week’s loss. The second-year quarterback, who only played four games before a knee injury ended his rookie season, completed just 9 of 19 pass attempts for 212 yards, two TDs and an interception against Houston. There were some bright spots, however, as he ran for 56 yards and a touchdown and both TD passes were more than 50 yards. Still, the jury’s still out on Richardson being the Colts’ franchise quarterback.
One major advantage Indy will have against Green Bay is their offensive line. The Packers really struggled to contain Saquon Barkley last week, allowing him to finish with three total TDs and over 100 rushing yards, and the Colts’ o-line is just as strong and intimidating as Philadelphia’s. That makes the Over attractive on Richardson’s rushing yards total.
Green Bay Packers
There’s a little bit of gamesmanship going on in Green Bay as head coach Matt LaFleur hasn’t ruled out Jordan Love. In all likelihood, however, it will be Malik Willis who gets the start. That’s concerning for multiple reasons. Willis was only acquired three weeks ago, so he hasn’t had a lot of time to learn the playbook. Even scarier, if you’re a cheesehead, is Willis’ only three career starts came as a rookie with Tennessee in 2022. The Titans went 1-2 in those games, with Willis throwing no TDs, three interceptions and failing to top 100 passing yards in any game.
One upside for the Packers is the play of second-year receiver Jayden Reed, who finished last week with 138 yards and a touchdown on four catches. Reed also added a 33-yard touchdown run to become the first player to have a touchdown catch of 30-plus yards and a touchdown run of 30-plus yards in a season-opener since Hall of Famer Jim Brown in 1963.
IND
GB