When the 2017 NFL schedule first was released, this Sunday night’s matchup between the Colts and Seahawks looked interesting as it would feature two-star quarterbacks taken in the 2012 draft facing off. Alas, only one will be on the field, and his team is the biggest Sports Interaction betting favourite of Week 4.
Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks
When: Sunday, 8:30 PM ET Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle Point Spread: Seahawks -13
Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Both teams are 1-2, but while Indianapolis has covered the spread in two of its games, Seattle has been one of the worst wagers in the NFL at 0-3 ATS. A struggling offense was largely the culprit the first two weeks. That unit came alive this past Sunday, but the defense had an off day. This is the second time already in 2017 that Seattle is a double-digit favourite; it was -13.5 in Week 2 vs. the 49ers and won just 12-9.
Seattle is 9-1 SU in its last 10 home games as a double-digit favourite and 6-4 ATS. The Colts have been underdogs in all three games because they are without quarterback Andrew Luck. Indianapolis hasn’t been a double-digit underdog since 2013 and is 5-5 ATS in its last 10 games as one (1-9 SU). The Colts are now +900 long shots to win the AFC South.
Seattle managed just one touchdown in its first two games, a loss to Green Bay and that close win over San Francisco. That unit put up 27 points Sunday as Russell Wilson, the 75th overall pick in the 2012 draft, threw for 373 yards and four touchdowns. But that normally excellent Seahawks defense allowed the Titans 420 yards and 33 points.
Wilson could be without his No. 1 target against Indianapolis as receiver Doug Baldwin left in the fourth quarter vs. Tennessee with a groin injury. The early word is the injury isn’t serious, but Baldwin might have to sit this one out. He has 20 catches for 212 yards and a touchdown this year.
There’s no sugarcoating that the Colts’ organization has totally botched Luck’s return from January shoulder surgery. The team kept saying he would be ready for training camp when that was an outright lie. Luck could practice with his teammates for the first time since late last season this week, but he’s not expected to play until Week 6. Luck was the No. 1 overall pick in the 2012 draft.
Former Patriots third-stringer Jacoby Brissett has started the past two games and played well in Sunday’s 31-28 win over Cleveland that may have saved the job of Colts coach Chuck Pagano. Brissett threw for 259 yards and a score while rushing for two touchdowns. T.Y. Hilton, the 2016 NFL receiving yardage leader, finally broke out with 153 yards and a touchdown. That Browns game was notable because Cleveland was a road favourite for the first time in three years. Top Indy cornerback Vontae Davis has yet to play this year due to a groin injury, and he’s in doubt vs. Seattle.
Colts at Seahawks Prediction
History shows that you should take NFL teams getting more than 10 points, so do so here: Seahawks win 24-14.