Big playoff implications are on the line on Christmas Day as the Kansas City Chiefs look to lock down the top seed in the AFC, while the Pittsburgh Steelers look to stay atop the AFC North standings.
Pointspread | -2 -110 |
Moneyline | -130 |
Over / Under | o +43 |
Pointspread | +2 -110 |
Moneyline | +110 |
Over / Under | u +43 |
Pittsburgh came up short in a massive divisional game last week, dropping a 34-17 decision against Baltimore. That allowed the Ravens to draw even with the Steelers for the AFC North lead, which means Pittsburgh likely has to win their final two regular season games to have a chance to win the division as Baltimore holds the tiebreaker.
Kanas City is playing for even higher stakes. The Chiefs improved to 14-1 with a 27-19 win against Houston last week and a win in Week 17 clinches the top seed in the AFC. That would obviously be huge for Kansas City as it gives the banged up team extra rest ahead of their run for a third straight Super Bowl.
The Chiefs are three-point favourites to win on the NFL odds, with the total set at 43.5.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Kansas City has won three straight head-to-heads overall, but they’ve actually dropped six of their last seven games played in Pittsburgh. The teams last met in the wild-card round of the 2021 season, with the Chiefs winning 42-21 at Arrowhead Stadium before eventually losing to Cincinnati in the AFC championship game.
The Steelers have been one of the best cover options in the NFL this season at 10-5 against the spread, including 5-1 ATS at home. Kansas City has been disappointing at 7-8 ATS while failing to cover in seven of their last nine games.
Both teams have split the Over/Under fairly evenly. Pittsburgh, however, has trended toward higher scoring games lately, with the Over hitting in seven of their last 10.
Kansas City Chiefs
After fears Patrick Mahomes wouldn’t even play last week because of an ankle injury, the two-time league MVP came up big with 260 passing yards and a TD while adding 33 rushing yards and another score on the ground. The receiving core of Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, DeAndre Hopkins and Hollywood Brown all looked comfortable, chipping in a combined 177 yards in the air. It was Brown’s first game this season after recovering from a shoulder injury. Kareem Hunt also rushed for 55 yards and a TD.
The concern for Kansas City this week is the pressure Mahomes will face. Mahomes played well last week, but he’s still dealing with an ankle injury and the Chiefs allowed him to be pressured on 22 dropbacks against Houston. Pittsburgh has one of the best pass rushes in the NFL and they’ll be a much tougher matchup than the Texans.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Russell Wilson threw for 217 yards and two TDs against Baltimore, but he also threw a pick-six and had a horrendous fumble at the end of the game that proved costly. The Steelers went from having a chance to clinch the AFC North to giving up sole possession of the division lead and officially losing the tiebreaker against the Ravens. Receiver George Pickens missed his third straight game with a hamstring injury, but he is expected to return against Kansas City.
The difference for Pittsburgh this week, however, will be T.J. Watt. The All-Pro linebacker played last week after fears he’d miss the game because of an ankle injury. Watt, who is fourth in the NFL with 11.5 sacks and the current favourite to win Defensive Player of the Year, should be able to break through the Chiefs’ banged up offensive line and keep Mahomes running.
NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Chiefs vs. Steelers?
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time | fav | line | total |
---|---|---|---|
Opening 22 May 6:33pm | PIT | -4 -110 | O +42 -110 |
Closing 22 Aug 9:23pm | PIT | -5.5 -110 | U +46.5 -130 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Chiefs Team Leaders
Touchdowns |
9 |
Rushing |
728 |
Passing |
3928 |
Receiving |
59 |
Sacks |
8 |
Interceptions |
3 |
Touchdowns |
7 |
Rushing |
1043 |
Passing |
1106 |
Receiving |
65 |
Sacks |
6 |
Interceptions |
5 |
Touchdowns |
3 |
Rushing |
117 |
Passing |
679 |
Receiving |
19 |
Sacks |
4 |
Interceptions |
1 |
Touchdowns |
1 |
Rushing |
17 |
Passing |
0 |
Receiving |
5 |
Sacks |
1 |
Interceptions |
0 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Steelers Team Leaders
Touchdowns |
9 |
Rushing |
728 |
Passing |
3928 |
Receiving |
59 |
Sacks |
8 |
Interceptions |
3 |
Touchdowns |
7 |
Rushing |
1043 |
Passing |
1106 |
Receiving |
65 |
Sacks |
6 |
Interceptions |
5 |
Touchdowns |
3 |
Rushing |
117 |
Passing |
679 |
Receiving |
19 |
Sacks |
4 |
Interceptions |
1 |
Touchdowns |
1 |
Rushing |
17 |
Passing |
0 |
Receiving |
5 |
Sacks |
1 |
Interceptions |
0 |
Weather

temp | 39 |
condition | cloudy |
wind | East 2mph |
Injuries
Matt Araiza (P)
Patrick Mahomes (QB)
Jawaan Taylor (OT)
Marlon Tuipulotu (DT)
Patrick Mahomes (QB)
Isiah Pacheco (RB)
Patrick Mahomes (QB)
Trent McDuffie (CB)
Jawaan Taylor (OT)
Jack Cochrane (LB)
MyCole Pruitt (TE)
Mason McCormick (G)
Donte Jackson (CB)
Jaylen Warren (RB)
Justin Fields (QB)
Joey Porter Jr. (CB)
Tyler Matakevich (LB)
Ben Skowronek (WR)
Joey Porter Jr. (CB)
Ben Skowronek (WR)
Injuries
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Araiza (P) | Probable | Illness - 07 / 02 / 25 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
Araiza has come down with an illness, but is expected to face the Eagles for Super Bowl LIX on Sunday, February 9th. |
|||||
Patrick Mahomes (QB) | Probable | Ankle - 07 / 02 / 25 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
Mahomes is dealing with an ankle injury, but is expected to face the Eagles for Super Bowl LIX on Sunday, February 9th. |
|||||
Jawaan Taylor (OT) | Questionable | Knee - 31 / 01 / 25 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
Taylor is nursing a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will return to action against the Eagles for Super Bowl LIX on Sunday, February 9th. |
|||||
Marlon Tuipulotu (DT) | Out indefinitely | Undisclosed - 10 / 01 / 25 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
Tuipulotu has wound up on the injured reserve due to an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return. |
|||||
Patrick Mahomes (QB) | Questionable | Ankle - 07 / 01 / 25 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
Mahomes is nursing an ankle injury, and it is up in the air if he will be available against Texans on Saturday, January 18th. |
|||||
Isiah Pacheco (RB) | Questionable | Ribs - 03 / 01 / 25 | 2-2 | 1-3 | + - |
Pacheco is bothered by ribs injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Texans on Saturday, January 18th. |
|||||
Patrick Mahomes (QB) | Questionable | Rest - 02 / 01 / 25 | 2-2 | 1-3 | + - |
Mahomes is bothered by an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will play next game. |
|||||
Trent McDuffie (CB) | Questionable | Knee - 02 / 01 / 25 | 2-2 | 1-3 | + - |
McDuffie is dealing with a knee injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Texans on Saturday, January 18th. |
|||||
Jawaan Taylor (OT) | Questionable | Knee - 02 / 01 / 25 | 2-2 | 1-3 | + - |
Taylor is battling a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Bills on Sunday, January 26th. |
|||||
Jack Cochrane (LB) | Out indefinitely | Ankle - 24 / 12 / 24 | 3-2 | 2-3 | + - |
Cochrane is placed on the injured reserve list with an ankle injury, and he will miss an extended period. |
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
MyCole Pruitt (TE) | Questionable | Knee - 07 / 01 / 25 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
Pruitt is dealing with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th. |
|||||
Mason McCormick (G) | Questionable | Hand - 05 / 01 / 25 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
McCormick is dealing with a hand injury, and it is unknown he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th. |
|||||
Donte Jackson (CB) | Questionable | Back - 02 / 01 / 25 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
Jackson is dealing with a back injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th. |
|||||
Jaylen Warren (RB) | Questionable | Ribs - 01 / 01 / 25 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
Warren is battling with a rib injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Bengals on Sunday, January 5th. |
|||||
Justin Fields (QB) | Questionable | Abdominal - 24 / 12 / 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
Field is battling an abdominal injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th. |
|||||
Joey Porter Jr. (CB) | Questionable | Knee - 24 / 12 / 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
Porter is nursing a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Bengals on Sunday, January 05th. |
|||||
Tyler Matakevich (LB) | Questionable | Knee - 23 / 12 / 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
Matakevich is fighting off with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th. |
|||||
Ben Skowronek (WR) | Questionable | Hip - 22 / 12 / 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
Skowronek is battling with a hip injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Bengals on Sunday, January 05th. |
|||||
Joey Porter Jr. (CB) | Questionable | Calf - 21 / 12 / 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | + - |
Porter Jr. is nursing with a calf injury, and it is undetermined if he will be active against the Chiefs on Wednesday, December 25th. |
|||||
Ben Skowronek (WR) | Questionable | Hip - 21 / 12 / 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | + - |
Skowronek is dealing with a hip injury, and it is unknown if he will participate against the Chiefs on Wednesday, December 25th. |
-
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time fav line total Opening 22 May 6:33pm PIT -4 -110 O +42 -110 Closing 22 Aug 9:23pm PIT -5.5 -110 U +46.5 -130 -
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Chiefs Team Leaders
Touchdowns 9
Rushing 728
Passing 3928
Receiving 59
Sacks 8
Interceptions 3
Touchdowns 7
Rushing 1043
Passing 1106
Receiving 65
Sacks 6
Interceptions 5
Touchdowns 3
Rushing 117
Passing 679
Receiving 19
Sacks 4
Interceptions 1
Touchdowns 1
Rushing 17
Passing 0
Receiving 5
Sacks 1
Interceptions 0
-
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Steelers Team Leaders
Touchdowns 9
Rushing 728
Passing 3928
Receiving 59
Sacks 8
Interceptions 3
Touchdowns 7
Rushing 1043
Passing 1106
Receiving 65
Sacks 6
Interceptions 5
Touchdowns 3
Rushing 117
Passing 679
Receiving 19
Sacks 4
Interceptions 1
Touchdowns 1
Rushing 17
Passing 0
Receiving 5
Sacks 1
Interceptions 0
-
Weather
temp 39 condition cloudy wind East 2mph -
Injuries
Matt Araiza (P)
Probable Illness - 07 / 02 / 25Patrick Mahomes (QB)
Probable Ankle - 07 / 02 / 25Jawaan Taylor (OT)
Questionable Knee - 31 / 01 / 25Marlon Tuipulotu (DT)
Out indefinitely Undisclosed - 10 / 01 / 25Patrick Mahomes (QB)
Questionable Ankle - 07 / 01 / 25Isiah Pacheco (RB)
Questionable Ribs - 03 / 01 / 25Patrick Mahomes (QB)
Questionable Rest - 02 / 01 / 25Trent McDuffie (CB)
Questionable Knee - 02 / 01 / 25Jawaan Taylor (OT)
Questionable Knee - 02 / 01 / 25Jack Cochrane (LB)
Out indefinitely Ankle - 24 / 12 / 24MyCole Pruitt (TE)
Questionable Knee - 07 / 01 / 25Mason McCormick (G)
Questionable Hand - 05 / 01 / 25Donte Jackson (CB)
Questionable Back - 02 / 01 / 25Jaylen Warren (RB)
Questionable Ribs - 01 / 01 / 25Justin Fields (QB)
Questionable Abdominal - 24 / 12 / 24Joey Porter Jr. (CB)
Questionable Knee - 24 / 12 / 24Tyler Matakevich (LB)
Questionable Knee - 23 / 12 / 24Ben Skowronek (WR)
Questionable Hip - 22 / 12 / 24Joey Porter Jr. (CB)
Questionable Calf - 21 / 12 / 24Ben Skowronek (WR)
Questionable Hip - 21 / 12 / 24Injuries
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Matt Araiza (P) Probable Illness - 07 / 02 / 25 1-0 1-0 + - Araiza has come down with an illness, but is expected to face the Eagles for Super Bowl LIX on Sunday, February 9th.
Patrick Mahomes (QB) Probable Ankle - 07 / 02 / 25 1-0 1-0 + - Mahomes is dealing with an ankle injury, but is expected to face the Eagles for Super Bowl LIX on Sunday, February 9th.
Jawaan Taylor (OT) Questionable Knee - 31 / 01 / 25 1-0 1-0 + - Taylor is nursing a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will return to action against the Eagles for Super Bowl LIX on Sunday, February 9th.
Marlon Tuipulotu (DT) Out indefinitely Undisclosed - 10 / 01 / 25 1-2 1-2 + - Tuipulotu has wound up on the injured reserve due to an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
Patrick Mahomes (QB) Questionable Ankle - 07 / 01 / 25 1-2 1-2 + - Mahomes is nursing an ankle injury, and it is up in the air if he will be available against Texans on Saturday, January 18th.
Isiah Pacheco (RB) Questionable Ribs - 03 / 01 / 25 2-2 1-3 + - Pacheco is bothered by ribs injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Texans on Saturday, January 18th.
Patrick Mahomes (QB) Questionable Rest - 02 / 01 / 25 2-2 1-3 + - Mahomes is bothered by an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will play next game.
Trent McDuffie (CB) Questionable Knee - 02 / 01 / 25 2-2 1-3 + - McDuffie is dealing with a knee injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Texans on Saturday, January 18th.
Jawaan Taylor (OT) Questionable Knee - 02 / 01 / 25 2-2 1-3 + - Taylor is battling a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Bills on Sunday, January 26th.
Jack Cochrane (LB) Out indefinitely Ankle - 24 / 12 / 24 3-2 2-3 + - Cochrane is placed on the injured reserve list with an ankle injury, and he will miss an extended period.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes MyCole Pruitt (TE) Questionable Knee - 07 / 01 / 25 1-0 0-1 + - Pruitt is dealing with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th.
Mason McCormick (G) Questionable Hand - 05 / 01 / 25 1-1 0-2 + - McCormick is dealing with a hand injury, and it is unknown he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th.
Donte Jackson (CB) Questionable Back - 02 / 01 / 25 1-1 0-2 + - Jackson is dealing with a back injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th.
Jaylen Warren (RB) Questionable Ribs - 01 / 01 / 25 1-1 0-2 + - Warren is battling with a rib injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Bengals on Sunday, January 5th.
Justin Fields (QB) Questionable Abdominal - 24 / 12 / 24 1-2 1-2 + - Field is battling an abdominal injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th.
Joey Porter Jr. (CB) Questionable Knee - 24 / 12 / 24 1-2 1-2 + - Porter is nursing a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Bengals on Sunday, January 05th.
Tyler Matakevich (LB) Questionable Knee - 23 / 12 / 24 1-2 1-2 + - Matakevich is fighting off with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th.
Ben Skowronek (WR) Questionable Hip - 22 / 12 / 24 1-2 1-2 + - Skowronek is battling with a hip injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Bengals on Sunday, January 05th.
Joey Porter Jr. (CB) Questionable Calf - 21 / 12 / 24 1-3 1-3 + - Porter Jr. is nursing with a calf injury, and it is undetermined if he will be active against the Chiefs on Wednesday, December 25th.
Ben Skowronek (WR) Questionable Hip - 21 / 12 / 24 1-3 1-3 + - Skowronek is dealing with a hip injury, and it is unknown if he will participate against the Chiefs on Wednesday, December 25th.