Chiefs vs. Patriots Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 14 Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Dec 03, 2019

Tom Brady, Patriots, 2019

There are concerns over New England’s offensive struggles, and Brady’s role in those; he has failed to complete more than 56 percent of his pass attempts in four of his previous five games entering this game with the Chiefs.

AT
December 08, 2019, 4:25 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
Pointspread +3 -116
Moneyline +130
Over / Under o +48.5

66%

Betting Action

34%

Pointspread -3 -104
Moneyline -156
Over / Under u +48.5

66%

Betting Action

34%

A loss in Houston last week has New England sweating a bit at the top of the AFC East, but they’re still very much in control of their own fate as they welcome the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday afternoon. The Patriots saw their division lead chopped to one game following a 29-22 setback to the Texans, but with three of their final four games coming at Gillette Stadium – and their lone road contest coming against 1-11 Cincinnati – they’re still in the driver’s seat.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Have oddsmakers soured on the Patriots? That might be the prevailing thought as New England will likely go into its Week 14 matchup with the smallest home spread it has seen since Oct. 22, 2017, when it prevailed 23-7 over visiting Atlanta at -2.5. Dating back to that successful cover, the Patriots have gone an incredible 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games – but one of those non-covers came in a 43-40 win over the Chiefs as 3.5-point faves in 2018.

 

Neither the Patriots’ stalwart defence nor the Chiefs’ improving point prevention have swayed oddsmakers from slapping a total of 49 on this game – and based on what happened the last time these teams faced off at Gillette Stadium, that still might be on the low side. Also worth considering: the Over has cashed in 12 of the Chiefs’ previous 16 games away from Arrowhead Stadium, while New England is 17-7 to the Under in its past 24 home contests.

Kansas City Chiefs

While they can certainly blame an injury to star quarterback Patrick Mahomes in some respects, the Chiefs haven’t looked quite right for most of the season. But that all changed in Week 13, as they rode a pair of defensive/special teams touchdowns to a 40-9 drubbing of host Oakland, matching a season high in points. Stunningly, no Chiefs player has scored more than five touchdowns this season; five players finished with 5+ TDs a season ago.

New England Patriots

Tom Brady did his best to quell worries over last week’s putrid effort, telling reporters that the Patriots are “10-2, not 2-10.” But there are concerns over New England’s offensive struggles, and Brady’s role in those; he has failed to complete more than 56 percent of his pass attempts in four of his previous five games, and has just three multi-touchdown efforts in his past nine starts. It might be worthwhile to take the Under on his passing yard total here.

Who Will Win Chiefs vs. Patriots?

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